Fix dashboard error handling, settings billing route, update vision.md
- routes.py: return_exceptions=True on gather, log individual query failures with per-result defaults so one bad query doesn't blank the whole page - settings.html: fix billing.portal → billing.manage (correct blueprint route) - vision.md: update current state to February 2026, document shipped features Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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vision.md
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vision.md
@@ -89,47 +89,63 @@ We move fast, ship incrementally, and prioritize value over vanity metrics.
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- Avoid full table scans
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- Pay only for what changed
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## Current State (October 2025)
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## Current State (February 2026)
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### What's Working
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- USDA PSD Online extraction (2006-present, monthly archives)
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- 4-layer SQLMesh pipeline (raw → staging → cleaned → serving)
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- DuckDB backend with 13GB dev database
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- DuckDB backend (local dev + production lakehouse)
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- Incremental-by-time-range models with deduplication
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- Development environment with pre-commit hooks, linting, formatting
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- **Web app (BeanFlows.coffee)** — Quart + HTMX, deployed via Docker
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- Magic-link auth + signup with waitlist flow
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- Coffee analytics dashboard: time series, top producers, stock-to-use trend, supply/demand balance, YoY change
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- Country comparison view
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- User settings + account management
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- API key management (create, revoke, prefix display)
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- Plan-based access control (free / starter / pro) with 5-year history cap on free tier
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- Billing via Paddle (subscriptions + webhooks)
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- Admin panel (users, waitlist, feedback, tasks)
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- REST API with Bearer token auth, rate limiting (1000 req/hr), CSV export
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- Feedback + waitlist capture
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- GitLab CI pipeline (lint, test, build), regression tests for billing/auth/API
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### What We Have
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- Comprehensive commodity supply/demand data (USDA PSD)
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- Comprehensive commodity supply/demand data (USDA PSD, 2006–present)
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- Established naming conventions and data quality patterns
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- GitLab CI pipeline (lint, test, build)
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- Documentation (CLAUDE.md, layer conventions)
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- Full product pipeline: data → DB → API → web dashboard
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- Paddle billing integration (Starter + Pro tiers)
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- Working waitlist to capture early interest
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## Roadmap
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### Phase 1: Coffee Market Foundation (Current)
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### Phase 1: Coffee Market Foundation (In Progress → ~70% done)
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**Goal:** Build complete coffee analytics from supply to price
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**Data Sources to Integrate:**
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- ✅ USDA PSD Online (production, stocks, consumption)
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- ⬜ ICO (International Coffee Organization) data
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- ⬜ Yahoo Finance / Alpha Vantage (coffee futures prices - KC=F)
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- ⬜ Weather data for coffee-growing regions (OpenWeatherMap, NOAA)
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- ⬜ CFTC COT data (trader positioning)
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- ⬜ ICE warehouse stocks (web scraping)
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- ⬜ CFTC COT data (trader positioning — weekly, Coffee C futures code 083731)
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- ⬜ Coffee futures prices — KC=F via Yahoo Finance / yfinance, or Databento for tick-level
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- ⬜ ICO (International Coffee Organization) data — trade volumes, consumption stats
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- ⬜ ICE certified warehouse stocks (daily CSV from ICE Report Center — free)
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- ⬜ Weather data for growing regions — ECMWF/Open-Meteo (free), Brazil frost alerts
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**Features to Build:**
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- ⬜ Historical price correlation analysis
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- ⬜ Supply/demand balance modeling
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- ⬜ Weather impact scoring
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- ⬜ Trader sentiment indicators (COT)
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- ⬜ Simple web dashboard (read-only analytics)
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- ⬜ Data export APIs (JSON, CSV, Parquet)
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- ✅ Web dashboard (supply/demand, stock-to-use trend, YoY, country comparison)
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- ✅ REST API with key auth, plan-based access, rate limiting
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- ✅ CSV export
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- ⬜ CFTC COT integration → trader sentiment indicators
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- ⬜ Historical price data → price/supply correlation analysis
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- ⬜ Python SDK (`pip install beanflows`) — critical for the quant analyst beachhead
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- ⬜ Data methodology documentation page — P0 for trust (see strategy doc)
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- ⬜ Parquet export endpoint
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- ⬜ Example Jupyter notebooks (show how to pipe data into common models)
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**Infrastructure:**
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- ⬜ Move to Cloudflare R2 for raw data storage
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- ⬜ Deploy SQLMesh to Hetzner production environment
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- ⬜ Set up automated daily extraction + transformation pipeline
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- ⬜ Implement monitoring and alerting
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- ⬜ Cloudflare R2 for raw data storage (rclone sync is partly planned)
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- ⬜ Automated daily pipeline on Hetzner (SQLMesh prod + cron)
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- ⬜ Pipeline monitoring + alerting (failure notifications)
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- ⬜ Published SLA for data freshness
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### Phase 2: Product Market Fit
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**Goal:** Validate with real traders, iterate on feedback
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@@ -246,16 +262,28 @@ When making decisions, ask:
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If the answer to any of these is "no," reconsider.
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## Current Priorities (Q4 2025)
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## Current Priorities (Q1 2026)
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1. Integrate coffee futures price data (Yahoo Finance)
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2. Build time-series serving models for price/supply correlation
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3. Deploy production pipeline to Hetzner
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4. Set up Cloudflare R2 for raw data storage
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5. Create simple read-only dashboard for coffee analytics
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6. Document API for beta testers
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**Goal: Complete Phase 1 "whole product" and start beachhead outreach**
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### Immediate (ship first):
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1. **CFTC COT data** — extract weekly positioning data (CFTC code 083731), add to SQLMesh pipeline, expose via API. Completes the "USDA + CFTC" V1 promise from the strategy doc.
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2. **Coffee futures price (KC=F)** — daily close via yfinance or Databento. Enables price/supply correlation in the dashboard. Core hook for trader interest.
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3. **Data methodology page** — transparent docs for every field, every source, lineage. The #1 trust driver per the strategy doc. Required before outreach.
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4. **Python SDK** (`pip install beanflows`) — one-line data access for quant analysts. The beachhead segment runs Python; this removes their biggest switching friction.
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### Then (before Series A of customers):
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5. **Automated daily pipeline** on Hetzner — cron + SQLMesh prod, with failure alerting
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6. **Cloudflare R2** raw data backup + pipeline source
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7. **Example Jupyter notebooks** — show before/after vs. manual WASDE workflow
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8. **ICE warehouse stocks** — daily certified Arabica/Robusta inventory data (free from ICE Report Center)
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### Business (parallel, not blocking):
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- Start direct outreach to 20–30 named analysts at mid-size commodity funds
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- Weekly "BeanFlows Coffee Data Brief" newsletter (content marketing + credibility signal)
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- Identify 1–2 early beta users willing to give feedback
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---
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**Last Updated:** October 2025
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**Next Review:** End of Q4 2025 (adjust based on Phase 1 progress)
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**Last Updated:** February 2026
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**Next Review:** End of Q1 2026
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