feat(cot): add combined (futures+options) COT extractor and transform models

- extract/cftc_cot: refactor extract_cot_year() to accept url_template and
  landing_subdir params; add _extract_cot() shared loop; add extract_cot_combined()
  entry point using com_disagg_txt_{year}.zip → landing/cot_combined/
- pyproject.toml: add extract_cot_combined script entry point
- macros/__init__.py: add @cot_combined_glob() for cot_combined/**/*.csv.gzip
- fct_cot_positioning.sql: union cot_glob and cot_combined_glob in src CTE;
  add report_type column (FutOnly_or_Combined) to cast_and_clean + deduplicated;
  include FutOnly_or_Combined in hkey to avoid key collisions; add report_type to grain
- obt_cot_positioning.sql: add report_type = 'FutOnly' filter to preserve
  existing serving behavior
- obt_cot_positioning_combined.sql: new serving model filtered to report_type =
  'Combined'; identical analytics (COT index, net %, windows) on combined data
- pipelines.py: register extract_cot_combined; add to extract_all meta-pipeline

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
Deeman
2026-02-26 11:24:56 +01:00
parent 8628496881
commit b884bc2b4a
7 changed files with 205 additions and 16 deletions

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@@ -17,6 +17,13 @@ def cot_glob(evaluator) -> str:
return f"'{landing_dir}/cot/**/*.csv.gzip'"
@macro()
def cot_combined_glob(evaluator) -> str:
"""Return a quoted glob path for all COT combined (futures+options) CSV gzip files under LANDING_DIR."""
landing_dir = evaluator.var("LANDING_DIR") or os.environ.get("LANDING_DIR", "data/landing")
return f"'{landing_dir}/cot_combined/**/*.csv.gzip'"
@macro()
def prices_glob(evaluator) -> str:
"""Return a quoted glob path for all coffee price CSV gzip files under LANDING_DIR."""

View File

@@ -4,7 +4,7 @@ MODEL (
kind INCREMENTAL_BY_TIME_RANGE (
time_column report_date
),
grain (cftc_commodity_code, report_date, cftc_contract_market_code, ingest_date),
grain (cftc_commodity_code, report_date, cftc_contract_market_code, ingest_date, report_type),
start '2006-06-13',
cron '@daily'
);
@@ -21,6 +21,18 @@ WITH src AS (
all_varchar = TRUE,
max_line_size = 10000000
)
UNION ALL BY NAME
SELECT
*
FROM READ_CSV(
@cot_combined_glob(),
compression = 'gzip',
header = TRUE,
union_by_name = TRUE,
filename = TRUE,
all_varchar = TRUE,
max_line_size = 10000000
)
), cast_and_clean AS (
SELECT
TRIM(market_and_exchange_names) AS market_and_exchange_name, /* Identifiers */
@@ -28,6 +40,7 @@ WITH src AS (
TRIM(cftc_commodity_code) AS cftc_commodity_code,
TRIM(cftc_contract_market_code) AS cftc_contract_market_code,
TRIM(contract_units) AS contract_units,
TRIM("FutOnly_or_Combined") AS report_type, /* 'FutOnly' or 'Combined' — discriminates the two CFTC report variants */
TRY_CAST(open_interest_all AS INT) AS open_interest, /* Open interest */ /* CFTC uses '.' as null for any field — use TRY_CAST throughout */
TRY_CAST(prod_merc_positions_long_all AS INT) AS prod_merc_long, /* Producer / Merchant (commercial hedgers: exporters, processors) */
TRY_CAST(prod_merc_positions_short_all AS INT) AS prod_merc_short,
@@ -66,12 +79,13 @@ WITH src AS (
cftc_commodity_code,
report_date_as_yyyy_mm_dd,
cftc_contract_market_code,
"FutOnly_or_Combined",
open_interest_all,
m_money_positions_long_all,
m_money_positions_short_all,
prod_merc_positions_long_all,
prod_merc_positions_short_all
) AS hkey /* Dedup key: hash of business grain + key metrics */
) AS hkey /* Dedup key: hash of business grain + key metrics; includes report variant so fut-only and combined rows get distinct keys */
FROM src
/* Reject rows with null commodity code or malformed date */
WHERE
@@ -119,6 +133,7 @@ WITH src AS (
ANY_VALUE(traders_managed_money_short) AS traders_managed_money_short,
ANY_VALUE(traders_managed_money_spread) AS traders_managed_money_spread,
ANY_VALUE(ingest_date) AS ingest_date,
ANY_VALUE(report_type) AS report_type,
hkey
FROM cast_and_clean
GROUP BY

View File

@@ -20,6 +20,7 @@ WITH latest_revision AS (
ON f.cftc_commodity_code = d.cftc_commodity_code
WHERE
d.commodity_name = 'Coffee, Green'
AND f.report_type = 'FutOnly'
AND f.report_date BETWEEN @start_ds AND @end_ds
QUALIFY
ROW_NUMBER() OVER (

View File

@@ -0,0 +1,148 @@
/* Serving mart: COT positioning (combined futures+options) for Coffee C futures. */ /* Same analytics as serving.cot_positioning, but filtered to the combined */ /* report variant (FutOnly_or_Combined = 'Combined'). Positions include */ /* options delta-equivalent exposure, showing total directional market bet. */ /* Grain: one row per report_date for Coffee C futures. */ /* Latest revision per date: MAX(ingest_date) used to deduplicate CFTC corrections. */
MODEL (
name serving.cot_positioning_combined,
kind INCREMENTAL_BY_TIME_RANGE (
time_column report_date
),
grain (
report_date
),
start '2006-06-13',
cron '@daily'
);
WITH latest_revision AS (
/* Pick the most recently ingested row when CFTC issues corrections */
SELECT
f.*
FROM foundation.fct_cot_positioning AS f
INNER JOIN foundation.dim_commodity AS d
ON f.cftc_commodity_code = d.cftc_commodity_code
WHERE
d.commodity_name = 'Coffee, Green'
AND f.report_type = 'Combined'
AND f.report_date BETWEEN @start_ds AND @end_ds
QUALIFY
ROW_NUMBER() OVER (
PARTITION BY f.report_date, f.cftc_contract_market_code
ORDER BY f.ingest_date DESC
) = 1
), with_derived AS (
SELECT
report_date,
market_and_exchange_name,
cftc_commodity_code,
cftc_contract_market_code,
contract_units,
ingest_date,
open_interest, /* Absolute positions (contracts, delta-equivalent for options) */
managed_money_long,
managed_money_short,
managed_money_spread,
managed_money_net,
prod_merc_long,
prod_merc_short,
prod_merc_net,
swap_long,
swap_short,
swap_spread,
swap_net,
other_reportable_long,
other_reportable_short,
other_reportable_spread,
other_reportable_net,
nonreportable_long,
nonreportable_short,
nonreportable_net,
ROUND(managed_money_net::REAL / NULLIF(open_interest, 0) * 100, 2) AS managed_money_net_pct_of_oi, /* Normalized: managed money net as % of open interest */ /* Removes size effects and makes cross-period comparison meaningful */
ROUND(managed_money_long::REAL / NULLIF(managed_money_short, 0), 3) AS managed_money_long_short_ratio, /* Long/short ratio: >1 = more bulls than bears in managed money */
change_open_interest, /* Weekly changes */
change_managed_money_long,
change_managed_money_short,
change_managed_money_net,
change_prod_merc_long,
change_prod_merc_short,
managed_money_net /* Week-over-week momentum in managed money net (via LAG) */ - LAG(managed_money_net, 1) OVER (ORDER BY report_date) AS managed_money_net_wow,
concentration_top4_long_pct, /* Concentration */
concentration_top4_short_pct,
concentration_top8_long_pct,
concentration_top8_short_pct,
traders_total, /* Trader counts */
traders_managed_money_long,
traders_managed_money_short,
traders_managed_money_spread,
CASE
WHEN MAX(managed_money_net) OVER w26 = MIN(managed_money_net) OVER w26
THEN 50.0
ELSE ROUND(
(
managed_money_net - MIN(managed_money_net) OVER w26
)::REAL / (
MAX(managed_money_net) OVER w26 - MIN(managed_money_net) OVER w26
) * 100,
1
)
END AS cot_index_26w, /* COT Index (26-week): where is current net vs. trailing 26 weeks? */ /* 0 = most bearish extreme, 100 = most bullish extreme */ /* Includes options delta-equivalent exposure */
CASE
WHEN MAX(managed_money_net) OVER w52 = MIN(managed_money_net) OVER w52
THEN 50.0
ELSE ROUND(
(
managed_money_net - MIN(managed_money_net) OVER w52
)::REAL / (
MAX(managed_money_net) OVER w52 - MIN(managed_money_net) OVER w52
) * 100,
1
)
END AS cot_index_52w /* COT Index (52-week): longer-term positioning context */
FROM latest_revision
WINDOW w26 AS (ORDER BY report_date ROWS BETWEEN 25 PRECEDING AND CURRENT ROW), w52 AS (ORDER BY report_date ROWS BETWEEN 51 PRECEDING AND CURRENT ROW)
)
SELECT
report_date,
market_and_exchange_name,
cftc_commodity_code,
cftc_contract_market_code,
contract_units,
ingest_date,
open_interest,
managed_money_long,
managed_money_short,
managed_money_spread,
managed_money_net,
prod_merc_long,
prod_merc_short,
prod_merc_net,
swap_long,
swap_short,
swap_spread,
swap_net,
other_reportable_long,
other_reportable_short,
other_reportable_spread,
other_reportable_net,
nonreportable_long,
nonreportable_short,
nonreportable_net,
managed_money_net_pct_of_oi,
managed_money_long_short_ratio,
change_open_interest,
change_managed_money_long,
change_managed_money_short,
change_managed_money_net,
change_prod_merc_long,
change_prod_merc_short,
managed_money_net_wow,
concentration_top4_long_pct,
concentration_top4_short_pct,
concentration_top8_long_pct,
concentration_top8_short_pct,
traders_total,
traders_managed_money_long,
traders_managed_money_short,
traders_managed_money_spread,
cot_index_26w,
cot_index_52w
FROM with_derived
ORDER BY
report_date