feat(sql+templates): market_score v3 — log density + count gate
Fixes ranking inversion where Germany (1/100k courts) outscored Spain (36/100k). Root causes: population/income were 55% of max before any padel signal, density ceiling saturated 73% of cities, small-town inflation (1 venue / 5k pop = 20/100k = full marks), and the saturation discount actively penalised mature markets. SQL (city_market_profile.sql): - Supply development 40pts: log-scaled density LN(d+1)/LN(21) × count gate min(1, count/5). Ceiling 20/100k. Count gate kills small-town inflation without hard cutoffs (1 venue = 20%, 5+ = 100%). - Demand evidence 25pts: occupancy if available; 40% density proxy otherwise. Separated from supply to avoid double-counting. - Addressable market 15pts: population as context, not maturity. - Economic context 10pts: income PPS (flat per country, low signal). - Data quality 10pts. - Removed saturation discount. High density = maturity. Verified spot-check scores: Málaga (46v, 7.77/100k): 70.1 [was 98.9] Barcelona (104v, 6.17/100k): 67.4 [was 100.0] Amsterdam (24v, 3.24/100k): 58.4 [was 93.7] Bernau bei Berlin (2v, 5.74/100k): 43.9 [was 92.7] Berlin (20v, 0.55/100k): 42.2 [was 74.1] London (66v, 0.74/100k): 44.1 [was 75.5] Templates (city-cost-de, country-overview, city-pricing): - Color coding: green >= 55 (was 65), amber >= 35 (was 40) - Intro/FAQ tiers: strong >= 55 (was 70), mid >= 35 (was 45) - Opportunity interplay: market_score < 40 (was < 50) for white-space Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
Deeman
@@ -21,7 +21,7 @@ priority_column: population
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</div>
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<div class="stats-strip__item">
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<div class="stats-strip__label"><span style="font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',sans-serif;font-weight:800;color:#0F172A;letter-spacing:-0.02em">padelnomics</span> Market Score</div>
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<div class="stats-strip__value" style="color:{% if market_score >= 65 %}#16A34A{% elif market_score >= 40 %}#D97706{% else %}#DC2626{% endif %}">{{ market_score | round(1) }}<span class="stats-strip__unit">/100</span></div>
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<div class="stats-strip__value" style="color:{% if market_score >= 55 %}#16A34A{% elif market_score >= 35 %}#D97706{% else %}#DC2626{% endif %}">{{ market_score | round(1) }}<span class="stats-strip__unit">/100</span></div>
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</div>
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{% if opportunity_score %}
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<div class="stats-strip__item">
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@@ -39,7 +39,7 @@ priority_column: population
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</div>
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</div>
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{{ city_name }} erreicht einen **<a href="/{{ language }}/market-score" style="text-decoration:none"><span style="font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',sans-serif;font-weight:800;color:#0F172A;letter-spacing:-0.02em">padelnomics</span> Market Score</a> von {{ market_score | round(1) }}/100** — damit liegt die Stadt{% if market_score >= 70 %} unter den stärksten Padel-Märkten in {{ country_name_en }}{% elif market_score >= 45 %} im soliden Mittelfeld der Padel-Märkte in {{ country_name_en }}{% else %} in einem frühen Padel-Markt mit Wachstumspotenzial{% endif %}. Aktuell gibt es **{{ padel_venue_count }} Padelanlagen** für {% if population >= 1000000 %}{{ (population / 1000000) | round(1) }}M{% else %}{{ (population / 1000) | round(0) | int }}K{% endif %} Einwohner — das entspricht {{ venues_per_100k | round(1) }} Anlagen pro 100.000 Einwohner.{% if opportunity_score %} Der **<a href="/{{ language }}/market-score" style="text-decoration:none"><span style="font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',sans-serif;font-weight:800;color:#0F172A;letter-spacing:-0.02em">padelnomics</span> Opportunity Score</a> von {{ opportunity_score | round(1) }}/100** bewertet das Investitionspotenzial — Versorgungslücken, Einzugsgebiet und Sportaffinität der Region:{% if opportunity_score >= 65 and market_score < 50 %} überschaubare Konkurrenz trifft auf starkes Standortpotenzial{% elif opportunity_score >= 65 %} hohes Potenzial trotz bereits aktivem Marktumfeld{% elif opportunity_score >= 40 %} solides Potenzial, der Markt beginnt sich zu verdichten{% else %} der Standort ist vergleichsweise gut versorgt, Differenzierung wird zum Schlüssel{% endif %}.{% endif %}
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{{ city_name }} erreicht einen **<a href="/{{ language }}/market-score" style="text-decoration:none"><span style="font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',sans-serif;font-weight:800;color:#0F172A;letter-spacing:-0.02em">padelnomics</span> Market Score</a> von {{ market_score | round(1) }}/100** — damit liegt die Stadt{% if market_score >= 55 %} unter den stärksten Padel-Märkten in {{ country_name_en }}{% elif market_score >= 35 %} im soliden Mittelfeld der Padel-Märkte in {{ country_name_en }}{% else %} in einem frühen Padel-Markt mit Wachstumspotenzial{% endif %}. Aktuell gibt es **{{ padel_venue_count }} Padelanlagen** für {% if population >= 1000000 %}{{ (population / 1000000) | round(1) }}M{% else %}{{ (population / 1000) | round(0) | int }}K{% endif %} Einwohner — das entspricht {{ venues_per_100k | round(1) }} Anlagen pro 100.000 Einwohner.{% if opportunity_score %} Der **<a href="/{{ language }}/market-score" style="text-decoration:none"><span style="font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',sans-serif;font-weight:800;color:#0F172A;letter-spacing:-0.02em">padelnomics</span> Opportunity Score</a> von {{ opportunity_score | round(1) }}/100** bewertet das Investitionspotenzial — Versorgungslücken, Einzugsgebiet und Sportaffinität der Region:{% if opportunity_score >= 65 and market_score < 40 %} überschaubare Konkurrenz trifft auf starkes Standortpotenzial{% elif opportunity_score >= 65 %} hohes Potenzial trotz bereits aktivem Marktumfeld{% elif opportunity_score >= 40 %} solides Potenzial, der Markt beginnt sich zu verdichten{% else %} der Standort ist vergleichsweise gut versorgt, Differenzierung wird zum Schlüssel{% endif %}.{% endif %}
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Die entscheidende Frage für Investoren: Was bringt ein Padel-Investment bei den aktuellen Preisen, Auslastungsraten und Baukosten tatsächlich? Das Finanzmodell unten rechnet mit echten Marktdaten aus {{ city_name }}.
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@@ -102,7 +102,7 @@ Eine detaillierte Preisanalyse mit Preisspannen und Vergleichsdaten findest Du a
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<details>
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<summary>Ist {{ city_name }} ein guter Standort für eine Padelhalle?</summary>
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{{ city_name }} erreicht **{{ market_score | round(1) }}/100** auf dem <span style="font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',sans-serif;font-weight:800;color:#0F172A;letter-spacing:-0.02em">padelnomics</span> Market Score, der Bevölkerungsgröße, Anlagendichte und Datenqualität berücksichtigt. {% if market_score >= 70 %}Ein Score über 70 signalisiert einen starken Markt: große Bevölkerung, wachsende Anlagenzahl und belastbare Preisdaten. {% elif market_score >= 45 %}Ein mittlerer Score bedeutet solide Grundlagen, aber einen teils stärker umkämpften oder datenlimitierten Markt. {% else %}Ein niedrigerer Score spricht für eine kleinere Stadt, begrenzte Datenlage oder einen Markt im Aufbau — was gleichzeitig weniger Wettbewerb und First-Mover-Vorteile bedeuten kann. {% endif %}Mit dem [Finanzplaner](/{{ language }}/planner) kannst Du Deine eigenen Annahmen durchrechnen.
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{{ city_name }} erreicht **{{ market_score | round(1) }}/100** auf dem <span style="font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',sans-serif;font-weight:800;color:#0F172A;letter-spacing:-0.02em">padelnomics</span> Market Score, der Anlagendichte, Bevölkerungsgröße und Datenqualität berücksichtigt. {% if market_score >= 55 %}Ein Score über 55 signalisiert einen starken Markt: etablierte Anlagendichte, wachsende Spielerbasis und belastbare Preisdaten. {% elif market_score >= 35 %}Ein mittlerer Score bedeutet solide Grundlagen, aber einen teils stärker umkämpften oder datenlimitierten Markt. {% else %}Ein niedrigerer Score spricht für einen Markt im frühen Aufbau — was gleichzeitig weniger Wettbewerb und First-Mover-Vorteile bedeuten kann. {% endif %}Mit dem [Finanzplaner](/{{ language }}/planner) kannst Du Deine eigenen Annahmen durchrechnen.
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</details>
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<details>
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@@ -161,7 +161,7 @@ Der **Market Score ({{ market_score | round(1) }}/100)** misst die *Marktreife*:
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</div>
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<div class="stats-strip__item">
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<div class="stats-strip__label"><span style="font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',sans-serif;font-weight:800;color:#0F172A;letter-spacing:-0.02em">padelnomics</span> Market Score</div>
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<div class="stats-strip__value" style="color:{% if market_score >= 65 %}#16A34A{% elif market_score >= 40 %}#D97706{% else %}#DC2626{% endif %}">{{ market_score | round(1) }}<span class="stats-strip__unit">/100</span></div>
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<div class="stats-strip__value" style="color:{% if market_score >= 55 %}#16A34A{% elif market_score >= 35 %}#D97706{% else %}#DC2626{% endif %}">{{ market_score | round(1) }}<span class="stats-strip__unit">/100</span></div>
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</div>
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{% if opportunity_score %}
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<div class="stats-strip__item">
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@@ -179,7 +179,7 @@ Der **Market Score ({{ market_score | round(1) }}/100)** misst die *Marktreife*:
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</div>
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</div>
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{{ city_name }} has a **<a href="/{{ language }}/market-score" style="text-decoration:none"><span style="font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',sans-serif;font-weight:800;color:#0F172A;letter-spacing:-0.02em">padelnomics</span> Market Score</a> of {{ market_score | round(1) }}/100** — placing it{% if market_score >= 70 %} among the strongest padel markets in {{ country_name_en }}{% elif market_score >= 45 %} in the mid-tier of {{ country_name_en }}'s padel markets{% else %} in an early-stage padel market with room for growth{% endif %}. The city currently has **{{ padel_venue_count }} padel venues** serving a population of {% if population >= 1000000 %}{{ (population / 1000000) | round(1) }}M{% else %}{{ (population / 1000) | round(0) | int }}K{% endif %} residents — a density of {{ venues_per_100k | round(1) }} venues per 100,000 people.{% if opportunity_score %} The **<a href="/{{ language }}/market-score" style="text-decoration:none"><span style="font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',sans-serif;font-weight:800;color:#0F172A;letter-spacing:-0.02em">padelnomics</span> Opportunity Score</a> of {{ opportunity_score | round(1) }}/100** scores investment potential — supply gaps, catchment reach, and sports culture as a demand proxy:{% if opportunity_score >= 65 and market_score < 50 %} limited competition meets strong location fundamentals{% elif opportunity_score >= 65 %} strong potential despite an already active market{% elif opportunity_score >= 40 %} solid potential as the market starts to fill in{% else %} the area is comparatively well-served; differentiation is the key lever{% endif %}.{% endif %}
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{{ city_name }} has a **<a href="/{{ language }}/market-score" style="text-decoration:none"><span style="font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',sans-serif;font-weight:800;color:#0F172A;letter-spacing:-0.02em">padelnomics</span> Market Score</a> of {{ market_score | round(1) }}/100** — placing it{% if market_score >= 55 %} among the strongest padel markets in {{ country_name_en }}{% elif market_score >= 35 %} in the mid-tier of {{ country_name_en }}'s padel markets{% else %} in an early-stage padel market with room for growth{% endif %}. The city currently has **{{ padel_venue_count }} padel venues** serving a population of {% if population >= 1000000 %}{{ (population / 1000000) | round(1) }}M{% else %}{{ (population / 1000) | round(0) | int }}K{% endif %} residents — a density of {{ venues_per_100k | round(1) }} venues per 100,000 people.{% if opportunity_score %} The **<a href="/{{ language }}/market-score" style="text-decoration:none"><span style="font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',sans-serif;font-weight:800;color:#0F172A;letter-spacing:-0.02em">padelnomics</span> Opportunity Score</a> of {{ opportunity_score | round(1) }}/100** scores investment potential — supply gaps, catchment reach, and sports culture as a demand proxy:{% if opportunity_score >= 65 and market_score < 40 %} limited competition meets strong location fundamentals{% elif opportunity_score >= 65 %} strong potential despite an already active market{% elif opportunity_score >= 40 %} solid potential as the market starts to fill in{% else %} the area is comparatively well-served; differentiation is the key lever{% endif %}.{% endif %}
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The question investors actually need answered is: given current pricing, occupancy, and build costs, what does the return look like? The financial model below uses real {{ city_name }} market data to give you that answer.
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@@ -242,7 +242,7 @@ For a detailed pricing breakdown with price ranges and venue comparisons, see th
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<details>
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<summary>Is {{ city_name }} a good location for a padel center?</summary>
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{{ city_name }} scores **{{ market_score | round(1) }}/100** on the <span style="font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',sans-serif;font-weight:800;color:#0F172A;letter-spacing:-0.02em">padelnomics</span> Market Score, which accounts for population size, existing venue density, and data completeness. {% if market_score >= 70 %}A score above 70 indicates a strong market: high population, growing venue count, and solid pricing data. {% elif market_score >= 45 %}A mid-range score means decent fundamentals but a more competitive or data-limited market. {% else %}A lower score reflects either a smaller city, sparse venue data, or an early-stage market — which can also mean lower competition and first-mover advantage. {% endif %}Use the [Padelnomics planner](/{{ language }}/planner) to model your specific assumptions.
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{{ city_name }} scores **{{ market_score | round(1) }}/100** on the <span style="font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',sans-serif;font-weight:800;color:#0F172A;letter-spacing:-0.02em">padelnomics</span> Market Score, which primarily reflects venue density alongside population size and data completeness. {% if market_score >= 55 %}A score above 55 indicates a strong market: established venue density, a growing player base, and solid pricing data. {% elif market_score >= 35 %}A mid-range score means decent fundamentals but a more competitive or data-limited market. {% else %}A lower score reflects an early-stage market — which can also mean lower competition and first-mover advantage. {% endif %}Use the [Padelnomics planner](/{{ language }}/planner) to model your specific assumptions.
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</details>
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<details>
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@@ -55,7 +55,7 @@ Die Preisspanne von {{ hourly_rate_p25 | round(0) | int }} bis {{ hourly_rate_p7
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## Wie steht {{ city_name }} im Vergleich da?
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{{ city_name }} hat {{ padel_venue_count }} Padelanlagen für {% if population >= 1000000 %}{{ (population / 1000000) | round(1) }}M{% else %}{{ (population / 1000) | round(0) | int }}K{% endif %} Einwohner ({{ venues_per_100k | round(1) }} Anlagen pro 100K Einwohner). {% if market_score >= 65 %}Mit einem <a href="/{{ language }}/market-score" style="text-decoration:none"><span style="font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',sans-serif;font-weight:800;color:#0F172A;letter-spacing:-0.02em">padelnomics</span> Market Score</a> von {{ market_score | round(1) }}/100 gehört {{ city_name }} zu den stärksten Padel-Märkten in {{ country_name_en }} — höhere Auslastung und Preise sind typisch für dichte, etablierte Märkte. {% elif market_score >= 40 %}Ein Market Score von {{ market_score | round(1) }}/100 steht für einen Markt im Aufbau: genug Angebot für marktgerechte Preise, aber Raum für neue Anlagen. {% else %}Ein Market Score von {{ market_score | round(1) }}/100 deutet auf einen Markt in der Frühphase hin, in dem sich Preise und Auslastung mit dem Wachstum des Sports noch deutlich entwickeln können. {% endif %}
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{{ city_name }} hat {{ padel_venue_count }} Padelanlagen für {% if population >= 1000000 %}{{ (population / 1000000) | round(1) }}M{% else %}{{ (population / 1000) | round(0) | int }}K{% endif %} Einwohner ({{ venues_per_100k | round(1) }} Anlagen pro 100K Einwohner). {% if market_score >= 55 %}Mit einem <a href="/{{ language }}/market-score" style="text-decoration:none"><span style="font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',sans-serif;font-weight:800;color:#0F172A;letter-spacing:-0.02em">padelnomics</span> Market Score</a> von {{ market_score | round(1) }}/100 gehört {{ city_name }} zu den stärksten Padel-Märkten in {{ country_name_en }} — höhere Auslastung und Preise sind typisch für dichte, etablierte Märkte. {% elif market_score >= 35 %}Ein Market Score von {{ market_score | round(1) }}/100 steht für einen Markt im Aufbau: genug Angebot für marktgerechte Preise, aber Raum für neue Anlagen. {% else %}Ein Market Score von {{ market_score | round(1) }}/100 deutet auf einen Markt in der Frühphase hin, in dem sich Preise und Auslastung mit dem Wachstum des Sports noch deutlich entwickeln können. {% endif %}
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Die Anlagendichte von {{ venues_per_100k | round(1) }} pro 100K Einwohner beeinflusst die Preisgestaltung direkt: {% if venues_per_100k >= 3.0 %}Höhere Dichte bedeutet mehr Wettbewerb, was die Preise eher stabilisiert oder senkt.{% elif venues_per_100k >= 1.0 %}Moderate Dichte ermöglicht marktgerechte Preise bei gleichzeitigem Wachstumsspielraum.{% else %}Niedrige Dichte gibt Betreibern mehr Preissetzungsmacht — vorausgesetzt, die Nachfrage ist da.{% endif %}
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@@ -168,7 +168,7 @@ The P25–P75 price range of {{ hourly_rate_p25 | round(0) | int }} to {{ hourly
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## How Does {{ city_name }} Compare?
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{{ city_name }} has {{ padel_venue_count }} padel venues for a population of {% if population >= 1000000 %}{{ (population / 1000000) | round(1) }}M{% else %}{{ (population / 1000) | round(0) | int }}K{% endif %} ({{ venues_per_100k | round(1) }} venues per 100K residents). {% if market_score >= 65 %}With a <a href="/{{ language }}/market-score" style="text-decoration:none"><span style="font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',sans-serif;font-weight:800;color:#0F172A;letter-spacing:-0.02em">padelnomics</span> Market Score</a> of {{ market_score | round(1) }}/100, {{ city_name }} is one of the stronger padel markets in {{ country_name_en }} — higher occupancy and pricing typically follow dense, competitive markets. {% elif market_score >= 40 %}A market score of {{ market_score | round(1) }}/100 reflects a mid-tier market: enough supply to have competitive pricing, but room for new venues to grow. {% else %}A market score of {{ market_score | round(1) }}/100 indicates an early-stage market where pricing and occupancy benchmarks may shift as the sport grows. {% endif %}
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{{ city_name }} has {{ padel_venue_count }} padel venues for a population of {% if population >= 1000000 %}{{ (population / 1000000) | round(1) }}M{% else %}{{ (population / 1000) | round(0) | int }}K{% endif %} ({{ venues_per_100k | round(1) }} venues per 100K residents). {% if market_score >= 55 %}With a <a href="/{{ language }}/market-score" style="text-decoration:none"><span style="font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',sans-serif;font-weight:800;color:#0F172A;letter-spacing:-0.02em">padelnomics</span> Market Score</a> of {{ market_score | round(1) }}/100, {{ city_name }} is one of the stronger padel markets in {{ country_name_en }} — higher occupancy and pricing typically follow dense, competitive markets. {% elif market_score >= 35 %}A market score of {{ market_score | round(1) }}/100 reflects a mid-tier market: enough supply to have competitive pricing, but room for new venues to grow. {% else %}A market score of {{ market_score | round(1) }}/100 indicates an early-stage market where pricing and occupancy benchmarks may shift as the sport grows. {% endif %}
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Venue density of {{ venues_per_100k | round(1) }} per 100K residents directly influences pricing: {% if venues_per_100k >= 3.0 %}higher density means more competition, which tends to stabilize or compress prices.{% elif venues_per_100k >= 1.0 %}moderate density supports market-rate pricing with room for growth.{% else %}low density gives operators more pricing power — provided demand exists.{% endif %}
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@@ -26,7 +26,7 @@ priority_column: total_venues
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</div>
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<div class="stats-strip__item">
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<div class="stats-strip__label"><span style="font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',sans-serif;font-weight:800;color:#0F172A;letter-spacing:-0.02em">padelnomics</span> Market Score</div>
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<div class="stats-strip__value" style="color:{% if avg_market_score >= 65 %}#16A34A{% elif avg_market_score >= 40 %}#D97706{% else %}#DC2626{% endif %}">{{ avg_market_score }}<span class="stats-strip__unit">/100</span></div>
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<div class="stats-strip__value" style="color:{% if avg_market_score >= 55 %}#16A34A{% elif avg_market_score >= 35 %}#D97706{% else %}#DC2626{% endif %}">{{ avg_market_score }}<span class="stats-strip__unit">/100</span></div>
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</div>
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{% if avg_opportunity_score %}
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<div class="stats-strip__item">
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@@ -40,15 +40,15 @@ priority_column: total_venues
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</div>
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</div>
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In {{ country_name_en }} erfassen wir aktuell **{{ total_venues }} Padelanlagen** in **{{ city_count }} Städten**. Der durchschnittliche <a href="/{{ language }}/market-score" style="text-decoration:none"><span style="font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',sans-serif;font-weight:800;color:#0F172A;letter-spacing:-0.02em">padelnomics</span> Market Score</a> liegt bei **{{ avg_market_score }}/100**{% if avg_market_score >= 65 %} — ein starker Markt mit breiter Infrastruktur und belastbaren Preisdaten{% elif avg_market_score >= 40 %} — ein wachsender Markt mit guter Abdeckung{% else %} — ein aufstrebender Markt, in dem Früheinsteiger noch Premiumstandorte sichern können{% endif %}.
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In {{ country_name_en }} erfassen wir aktuell **{{ total_venues }} Padelanlagen** in **{{ city_count }} Städten**. Der durchschnittliche <a href="/{{ language }}/market-score" style="text-decoration:none"><span style="font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',sans-serif;font-weight:800;color:#0F172A;letter-spacing:-0.02em">padelnomics</span> Market Score</a> liegt bei **{{ avg_market_score }}/100**{% if avg_market_score >= 55 %} — ein starker Markt mit breiter Infrastruktur und belastbaren Preisdaten{% elif avg_market_score >= 35 %} — ein wachsender Markt mit guter Abdeckung{% else %} — ein aufstrebender Markt, in dem Früheinsteiger noch Premiumstandorte sichern können{% endif %}.
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## Marktlandschaft
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Padel wächst in {{ country_name_en }} mit bemerkenswertem Tempo. Unsere Daten zeigen {{ total_venues }} erfasste Anlagen — eine Zahl, die angesichts nicht auf Buchungsplattformen gelisteter Clubs vermutlich noch höher liegt. Der durchschnittliche <span style="font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',sans-serif;font-weight:800;color:#0F172A;letter-spacing:-0.02em">padelnomics</span> Market Score von {{ avg_market_score }}/100 über {{ city_count }} Städte spiegelt sowohl die Marktreife als auch die Datenverfügbarkeit wider.
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{% if avg_market_score >= 65 %}Märkte mit Scores über 65 weisen in der Regel eine etablierte Spielerbasis, belastbare Preisdaten und berechenbare Nachfragemuster auf — entscheidend für eine solide Finanzplanung. Dennoch bleiben viele Städte unterversorgt: Selbst in reifen Märkten variiert die Anlagendichte pro 100.000 Einwohner erheblich.{% elif avg_market_score >= 40 %}Ein Score im mittleren Bereich deutet auf eine Wachstumsphase hin: Die Nachfrage ist nachweisbar, die Anlageninfrastruktur baut sich auf, und Preise haben sich noch nicht vollständig auf Wettbewerbsniveau eingependelt. Das eröffnet Chancen für gut positionierte Neueintritte.{% else %}Aufstrebende Märkte bieten First-Mover-Vorteile — weniger direkte Konkurrenz, potenziell attraktivere Mietkonditionen und die Möglichkeit, eine loyale Spielerbasis aufzubauen, bevor sich der Markt verdichtet.{% endif %}
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{% if avg_market_score >= 55 %}Märkte mit Scores über 55 weisen in der Regel eine etablierte Spielerbasis, belastbare Preisdaten und berechenbare Nachfragemuster auf — entscheidend für eine solide Finanzplanung. Dennoch bleiben viele Städte unterversorgt: Selbst in reifen Märkten variiert die Anlagendichte pro 100.000 Einwohner erheblich.{% elif avg_market_score >= 35 %}Ein Score im mittleren Bereich deutet auf eine Wachstumsphase hin: Die Nachfrage ist nachweisbar, die Anlageninfrastruktur baut sich auf, und Preise haben sich noch nicht vollständig auf Wettbewerbsniveau eingependelt. Das eröffnet Chancen für gut positionierte Neueintritte.{% else %}Aufstrebende Märkte bieten First-Mover-Vorteile — weniger direkte Konkurrenz, potenziell attraktivere Mietkonditionen und die Möglichkeit, eine loyale Spielerbasis aufzubauen, bevor sich der Markt verdichtet.{% endif %}
|
||||
|
||||
{% if avg_opportunity_score %}Der durchschnittliche **<a href="/{{ language }}/market-score" style="text-decoration:none"><span style="font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',sans-serif;font-weight:800;color:#0F172A;letter-spacing:-0.02em">padelnomics</span> Opportunity Score</a> von {{ avg_opportunity_score }}/100** zeigt, wie viel Investitionspotenzial in {{ country_name_en }} noch unerschlossen ist. {% if avg_opportunity_score >= 60 and avg_market_score < 50 %}Die Kombination aus hohem Opportunity Score und moderatem Market Score macht {{ country_name_en }} besonders interessant: Nachfragepotenzial und Sportaffinität sind vorhanden, die Infrastruktur noch im Aufbau — First-Mover-Konditionen für gut gewählte Standorte.{% elif avg_opportunity_score >= 60 %}Trotz eines bereits aktiven Markts gibt es noch Standorte mit erheblichem Potenzial — vor allem in mittelgroßen Städten und an der Peripherie großer Ballungsräume.{% else %}Viele Standorte in {{ country_name_en }} sind bereits gut versorgt. Neue Projekte brauchen eine sorgfältige Standortanalyse und ein klares Differenzierungsprofil.{% endif %}{% endif %}
|
||||
{% if avg_opportunity_score %}Der durchschnittliche **<a href="/{{ language }}/market-score" style="text-decoration:none"><span style="font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',sans-serif;font-weight:800;color:#0F172A;letter-spacing:-0.02em">padelnomics</span> Opportunity Score</a> von {{ avg_opportunity_score }}/100** zeigt, wie viel Investitionspotenzial in {{ country_name_en }} noch unerschlossen ist. {% if avg_opportunity_score >= 60 and avg_market_score < 40 %}Die Kombination aus hohem Opportunity Score und moderatem Market Score macht {{ country_name_en }} besonders interessant: Nachfragepotenzial und Sportaffinität sind vorhanden, die Infrastruktur noch im Aufbau — First-Mover-Konditionen für gut gewählte Standorte.{% elif avg_opportunity_score >= 60 %}Trotz eines bereits aktiven Markts gibt es noch Standorte mit erheblichem Potenzial — vor allem in mittelgroßen Städten und an der Peripherie großer Ballungsräume.{% else %}Viele Standorte in {{ country_name_en }} sind bereits gut versorgt. Neue Projekte brauchen eine sorgfältige Standortanalyse und ein klares Differenzierungsprofil.{% endif %}{% endif %}
|
||||
|
||||
## Top-Städte in {{ country_name_en }}
|
||||
|
||||
@@ -122,7 +122,7 @@ Unsere Spitzenstadt nach <span style="font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',sans-ser
|
||||
<details>
|
||||
<summary>Wie schnell wächst Padel in {{ country_name_en }}?</summary>
|
||||
|
||||
Padel gehört zu den am schnellsten wachsenden Racketsportarten in Europa. Mit {{ total_venues }} erfassten Anlagen in {{ city_count }} Städten zeigt {{ country_name_en }} {% if avg_market_score >= 65 %}bereits eine reife Infrastruktur — Wachstum kommt hier vor allem aus steigender Spielfrequenz und Premiumangeboten{% elif avg_market_score >= 40 %}eine klare Wachstumsdynamik mit steigender Nachfrage und neuen Anlagen{% else %}ein frühes Wachstumsstadium mit großem Potenzial für Neueintritte{% endif %}. Die Sportart profitiert von niedriger Einstiegshürde, hohem Spaßfaktor und starker Mund-zu-Mund-Verbreitung.
|
||||
Padel gehört zu den am schnellsten wachsenden Racketsportarten in Europa. Mit {{ total_venues }} erfassten Anlagen in {{ city_count }} Städten zeigt {{ country_name_en }} {% if avg_market_score >= 55 %}bereits eine reife Infrastruktur — Wachstum kommt hier vor allem aus steigender Spielfrequenz und Premiumangeboten{% elif avg_market_score >= 35 %}eine klare Wachstumsdynamik mit steigender Nachfrage und neuen Anlagen{% else %}ein frühes Wachstumsstadium mit großem Potenzial für Neueintritte{% endif %}. Die Sportart profitiert von niedriger Einstiegshürde, hohem Spaßfaktor und starker Mund-zu-Mund-Verbreitung.
|
||||
</details>
|
||||
|
||||
<details>
|
||||
@@ -158,7 +158,7 @@ Der **Market Score (Ø {{ avg_market_score }}/100)** bewertet die Marktreife: Be
|
||||
</div>
|
||||
<div class="stats-strip__item">
|
||||
<div class="stats-strip__label"><span style="font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',sans-serif;font-weight:800;color:#0F172A;letter-spacing:-0.02em">padelnomics</span> Market Score</div>
|
||||
<div class="stats-strip__value" style="color:{% if avg_market_score >= 65 %}#16A34A{% elif avg_market_score >= 40 %}#D97706{% else %}#DC2626{% endif %}">{{ avg_market_score }}<span class="stats-strip__unit">/100</span></div>
|
||||
<div class="stats-strip__value" style="color:{% if avg_market_score >= 55 %}#16A34A{% elif avg_market_score >= 35 %}#D97706{% else %}#DC2626{% endif %}">{{ avg_market_score }}<span class="stats-strip__unit">/100</span></div>
|
||||
</div>
|
||||
{% if avg_opportunity_score %}
|
||||
<div class="stats-strip__item">
|
||||
@@ -172,15 +172,15 @@ Der **Market Score (Ø {{ avg_market_score }}/100)** bewertet die Marktreife: Be
|
||||
</div>
|
||||
</div>
|
||||
|
||||
{{ country_name_en }} has **{{ total_venues }} padel venues** tracked across **{{ city_count }} cities**. The average <a href="/{{ language }}/market-score" style="text-decoration:none"><span style="font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',sans-serif;font-weight:800;color:#0F172A;letter-spacing:-0.02em">padelnomics</span> Market Score</a> across tracked cities is **{{ avg_market_score }}/100**{% if avg_market_score >= 65 %} — a strong market with widespread venue penetration and solid pricing data{% elif avg_market_score >= 40 %} — a growing market with healthy city coverage{% else %} — an emerging market where early entrants can still capture prime locations{% endif %}.
|
||||
{{ country_name_en }} has **{{ total_venues }} padel venues** tracked across **{{ city_count }} cities**. The average <a href="/{{ language }}/market-score" style="text-decoration:none"><span style="font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',sans-serif;font-weight:800;color:#0F172A;letter-spacing:-0.02em">padelnomics</span> Market Score</a> across tracked cities is **{{ avg_market_score }}/100**{% if avg_market_score >= 55 %} — a strong market with widespread venue penetration and solid pricing data{% elif avg_market_score >= 35 %} — a growing market with healthy city coverage{% else %} — an emerging market where early entrants can still capture prime locations{% endif %}.
|
||||
|
||||
## Market Landscape
|
||||
|
||||
Padel is growing rapidly across {{ country_name_en }}. Our data tracks {{ total_venues }} venues — a figure that likely understates the true count given independent clubs not listed on booking platforms. The average <span style="font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',sans-serif;font-weight:800;color:#0F172A;letter-spacing:-0.02em">padelnomics</span> Market Score of {{ avg_market_score }}/100 across {{ city_count }} cities reflects both market maturity and data availability.
|
||||
|
||||
{% if avg_market_score >= 65 %}Markets scoring above 65 typically show an established player base, reliable pricing data, and predictable demand patterns — all critical for sound financial planning. Yet even in mature markets, venue density per 100,000 residents varies significantly between cities, pointing to pockets of underserved demand.{% elif avg_market_score >= 40 %}A mid-range score signals a growth phase: demand is proven, venue infrastructure is building, and pricing hasn't fully settled to competitive levels. This creates opportunities for well-positioned new entrants who can secure good locations before the market matures.{% else %}Emerging markets offer first-mover advantages — less direct competition, potentially better lease terms, and the opportunity to build a loyal player base before the market fills out. The trade-off is less pricing data and more uncertainty in demand projections.{% endif %}
|
||||
{% if avg_market_score >= 55 %}Markets scoring above 55 typically show an established player base, reliable pricing data, and predictable demand patterns — all critical for sound financial planning. Yet even in mature markets, venue density per 100,000 residents varies significantly between cities, pointing to pockets of underserved demand.{% elif avg_market_score >= 35 %}A mid-range score signals a growth phase: demand is proven, venue infrastructure is building, and pricing hasn't fully settled to competitive levels. This creates opportunities for well-positioned new entrants who can secure good locations before the market matures.{% else %}Emerging markets offer first-mover advantages — less direct competition, potentially better lease terms, and the opportunity to build a loyal player base before the market fills out. The trade-off is less pricing data and more uncertainty in demand projections.{% endif %}
|
||||
|
||||
{% if avg_opportunity_score %}The average **<a href="/{{ language }}/market-score" style="text-decoration:none"><span style="font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',sans-serif;font-weight:800;color:#0F172A;letter-spacing:-0.02em">padelnomics</span> Opportunity Score</a> of {{ avg_opportunity_score }}/100** shows how much investment potential remains untapped in {{ country_name_en }}. {% if avg_opportunity_score >= 60 and avg_market_score < 50 %}The combination of a high Opportunity Score and a moderate Market Score makes {{ country_name_en }} particularly attractive for new entrants: demand potential and sports culture are there, infrastructure is still building — first-mover conditions for well-chosen locations.{% elif avg_opportunity_score >= 60 %}Despite an already active market, locations with significant potential remain — particularly in mid-size cities and at the periphery of major metro areas.{% else %}Many locations in {{ country_name_en }} are already well-served. New projects need careful site selection and a clear differentiation strategy to compete.{% endif %}{% endif %}
|
||||
{% if avg_opportunity_score %}The average **<a href="/{{ language }}/market-score" style="text-decoration:none"><span style="font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',sans-serif;font-weight:800;color:#0F172A;letter-spacing:-0.02em">padelnomics</span> Opportunity Score</a> of {{ avg_opportunity_score }}/100** shows how much investment potential remains untapped in {{ country_name_en }}. {% if avg_opportunity_score >= 60 and avg_market_score < 40 %}The combination of a high Opportunity Score and a moderate Market Score makes {{ country_name_en }} particularly attractive for new entrants: demand potential and sports culture are there, infrastructure is still building — first-mover conditions for well-chosen locations.{% elif avg_opportunity_score >= 60 %}Despite an already active market, locations with significant potential remain — particularly in mid-size cities and at the periphery of major metro areas.{% else %}Many locations in {{ country_name_en }} are already well-served. New projects need careful site selection and a clear differentiation strategy to compete.{% endif %}{% endif %}
|
||||
|
||||
## Top Cities in {{ country_name_en }}
|
||||
|
||||
@@ -254,7 +254,7 @@ Our top-ranked city by <span style="font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',sans-serif
|
||||
<details>
|
||||
<summary>How fast is padel growing in {{ country_name_en }}?</summary>
|
||||
|
||||
Padel is one of the fastest-growing racquet sports in Europe. With {{ total_venues }} venues tracked across {{ city_count }} cities, {{ country_name_en }} shows {% if avg_market_score >= 65 %}a mature infrastructure — growth here comes mainly from increasing play frequency and premium offerings{% elif avg_market_score >= 40 %}clear growth momentum with rising demand and new venues opening{% else %}early-stage growth with significant potential for new entrants{% endif %}. The sport benefits from a low barrier to entry, high enjoyment factor, and strong word-of-mouth growth among players.
|
||||
Padel is one of the fastest-growing racquet sports in Europe. With {{ total_venues }} venues tracked across {{ city_count }} cities, {{ country_name_en }} shows {% if avg_market_score >= 55 %}a mature infrastructure — growth here comes mainly from increasing play frequency and premium offerings{% elif avg_market_score >= 35 %}clear growth momentum with rising demand and new venues opening{% else %}early-stage growth with significant potential for new entrants{% endif %}. The sport benefits from a low barrier to entry, high enjoyment factor, and strong word-of-mouth growth among players.
|
||||
</details>
|
||||
|
||||
<details>
|
||||
|
||||
Reference in New Issue
Block a user