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padelnomics/transform/sqlmesh_padelnomics
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feat(transform): opportunity score v4 — market validation + population-weighted aggregation
Two targeted fixes for inflated country scores (ES 83, SE 77):

1. pseo_country_overview: replace AVG() with population-weighted averages
   for avg_opportunity_score and avg_market_score. Madrid/Barcelona now
   dominate Spain's average instead of hundreds of 30K-town white-space
   towns. Expected ES drop from ~83 to ~55-65.

2. location_profiles: replace dead sports culture component (10 pts,
   tennis data all zeros) with market validation signal.
   Split scored CTE into: market_scored → country_market → scored.
   country_market aggregates AVG(market_score) per country from cities
   with padel courts (market_score > 0), so zero-court locations don't
   dilute the signal. ES (~60/100) → ~6 pts. SE (~35/100) → ~3.5 pts.
   NULL → 0.5 neutral → 5 pts (untested market, not penalised).

Score budget unchanged: 25+20+30+15+10 = 100 pts.
No new models, no new data sources, no cycles.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-07 17:23:11 +01:00
..

Padelnomics Transform (SQLMesh)

3-layer SQL transformation pipeline using SQLMesh + DuckDB. Reads from the landing zone, produces analytics-ready tables consumed by the web app via an atomically-swapped serving DB.

Running

# From repo root — plan all changes (shows what will run)
uv run sqlmesh -p transform/sqlmesh_padelnomics plan

# Apply to production
uv run sqlmesh -p transform/sqlmesh_padelnomics plan prod

# Run model tests
uv run sqlmesh -p transform/sqlmesh_padelnomics test

# Format SQL
uv run sqlmesh -p transform/sqlmesh_padelnomics format

# Export serving tables to analytics.duckdb (run after SQLMesh)
DUCKDB_PATH=data/lakehouse.duckdb SERVING_DUCKDB_PATH=data/analytics.duckdb \
    uv run python src/padelnomics/export_serving.py

3-layer architecture

landing/                    ← raw files (extraction output)
  ├── overpass/*/*/courts.json.gz
  ├── eurostat/*/*/urb_cpop1.json.gz
  └── playtomic/*/*/tenants.json.gz

staging/                    ← reads landing files directly, type casting, dedup
  ├── staging.stg_padel_courts
  ├── staging.stg_playtomic_venues
  └── staging.stg_population

foundation/                 ← business logic, dimensions, facts
  ├── foundation.dim_venues            ← conformed venue dimension (Playtomic + OSM)
  ├── foundation.dim_cities            ← conformed city dimension (venue-derived + Eurostat)
  ├── foundation.dim_venue_capacity    ← static capacity attributes per venue
  ├── foundation.fct_availability_slot ← event-grain: one row per deduplicated slot
  └── foundation.fct_daily_availability← venue-day aggregate: occupancy + revenue estimates

serving/                    ← pre-aggregated for web app
  ├── serving.city_market_profile
  └── serving.planner_defaults

staging/ — read landing files + type casting

  • Reads landing zone JSON files directly with read_json(..., format='auto', filename=true)
  • Uses @LANDING_DIR variable for file path discovery
  • Casts all columns to correct types: TRY_CAST(... AS DOUBLE)
  • Deduplicates where source produces duplicates (ROW_NUMBER partitioned on ID)
  • Validates coordinates, nulls, and data quality inline
  • Naming: staging.stg_<source>

foundation/ — business logic

  • Dimensions (dim_*): slowly changing attributes, one row per entity
  • Facts (fact_*): events and measurements, one row per event
  • May join across multiple staging models from different sources
  • Naming: foundation.dim_<entity>, foundation.fact_<event>

serving/ — analytics-ready aggregates

  • Pre-aggregated for specific web app query patterns
  • These are the only tables the web app reads (via analytics.duckdb)
  • Queried from analytics.py via fetch_analytics()
  • Naming: serving.<purpose>

Two-DuckDB architecture

data/lakehouse.duckdb       ← SQLMesh exclusive write (DUCKDB_PATH)
  ├── staging.*
  ├── foundation.*
  └── serving.*

data/analytics.duckdb       ← web app read-only (SERVING_DUCKDB_PATH)
  └── serving.*             ← atomically replaced by export_serving.py

SQLMesh holds an exclusive write lock on lakehouse.duckdb during plan/run. The web app needs read-only access at all times. export_serving.py copies serving.* tables to a temp file, then atomically renames it to analytics.duckdb. The web app detects the inode change on next query — no restart needed.

Never point DUCKDB_PATH and SERVING_DUCKDB_PATH to the same file.

Adding a new data source

  1. Add an extractor in extract/padelnomics_extract/ (see extraction README)
  2. Add a staging model: models/staging/stg_<source>.sql that reads landing files directly
  3. Join into foundation or serving models as needed

Model materialization

Layer Default kind Rationale
staging FULL Re-reads all landing files; cheap with DuckDB parallel scan
foundation FULL Business logic rarely changes; recompute is fast
serving FULL Small aggregates; web app needs latest at all times

For large historical tables, switch to kind INCREMENTAL_BY_TIME_RANGE with a time partition column.

Environment variables

Variable Default Description
LANDING_DIR data/landing Root of the landing zone
DUCKDB_PATH data/lakehouse.duckdb DuckDB file (SQLMesh exclusive write access)
SERVING_DUCKDB_PATH data/analytics.duckdb Serving DB (web app reads from here)