padelnomics/docs/market-research-padel-costs-2026.md

# Padel Club Financial Model — Market Research Report

**February 2026 · Germany / United Kingdom / United States**

> Currency conversions used throughout: **£1 = €1.20 · $1 = €0.95**
> All values converted to EUR to match the financial model (EUR-only).

---

## How to Use This Report

This report maps directly to the per-city override fields in `seed_content.py`:

| Field | Unit | Section |
|---|---|---|
| `ratePeak` | EUR/hr per court | §2–4 Court Hire Rates |
| `rateOffPeak` | EUR/hr per court | §2–4 Court Hire Rates |
| `rentSqm` | EUR/sqm/month | §5 Commercial Rent |
| `electricity` | EUR/month (facility total) | §6 Operating Costs |
| `heating` | EUR/month (facility total) | §6 Operating Costs |
| `staff` | EUR/month (total employer cost) | §6 Operating Costs |
| `permitsCompliance` | EUR one-time | §7 CAPEX & Permits |
| `utilTarget` | % (e.g. 0.30 = 30%) | §8 Recommended Values |

Country-level CAPEX benchmarks (court construction, hall build cost, land) are documented for reference but are not city-specific model inputs in V1.

---

## 2. Court Hire Rates — Germany

Rates are per court per hour (full court, 4 players). Off-peak = weekday daytime before ~17:00; peak = evenings and weekends.

| City | Off-Peak (€/hr) | Peak (€/hr) | Confidence | Key Venue / Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berlin | €33 | €46 | ✅ High | Playskan city avg; Padel Berlin outdoor €37/indoor €46 |
| Munich | €30 | €42 | ⚠️ Est. | No public pricing; estimated from city market position |
| Hamburg | €26 | €36 | ✅ Medium | Padelon: double court €30 flat; single court €20 |
| Frankfurt | €24 | €28 | ✅ High | Padel Frankfurt: €24 off-peak / €28 peak (confirmed) |
| Cologne | €22 | €27 | ✅ High | Padel Walls: €22 daytime / €26 evening (confirmed) |
| Düsseldorf | €30 | €42 | ⚠️ Est. | TG Nord guest €48 (members club outlier); commercial est. |
| Stuttgart | €26 | €38 | ✅ Medium | Stuttgart Padel 45-min slots: €34/€44 per 4 players = €45/€59/hr; adjusted down for typical 60-min model |
| Leipzig | €18 | €26 | ⚠️ Est. | PadelCity Leipzig (Nov 2024 opening); app-only pricing |

**Industry context:** Playtomic Global Padel Report 2025 shows Germany average GMV per court rose 48% YoY to **€4,000/month**. At 30% utilisation and ~450 bookable slots/month, this implies a blended rate of ~€30/hr — consistent with the figures above.

**Sources:** [Playskan](https://www.playskan.com/), [Padelberlin.de](https://padelberlin.de/pricing/), [Padelon Hamburg](https://www.padel-test.de/en/padel-locations-2/padel-hamburg-rahlstedt/), [Padel Frankfurt / padelfinder.de](https://padelfinder.de/en/paddle-court/padel-frankfurt/), [Padel Walls Cologne](https://www.padel-test.de/en/padel-locations-2/padel-koeln-walls/), [Stuttgart Padel](https://www.stuttgart-padel.com/), [Playtomic Global Padel Report 2025](https://playtomic.com/global-padel-report)

---

## 3. Court Hire Rates — United Kingdom

Rates confirmed from aggregators (Playskan, TimeOut), direct venue pages, and Powerleague data. Listed in GBP first, then EUR.

| City | Off-Peak (£/hr) | Peak (£/hr) | Off-Peak (€/hr) | Peak (€/hr) | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| London | £25–35 | £45–60 | €30–42 | €54–72 | TimeOut map (Mar 2025); Rocket Padel £20, Padel Social Club £50, The Padel Yard £60 |
| Manchester | £30 | £45 | €36 | €54 | Powerleague Ardwick; DesignMyNight avg £38 blended |
| Birmingham | £22 | £35 | €26 | €42 | Powerleague Birmingham (Jul 2024); Playskan avg £31 |
| Edinburgh | £18 | £28 | €22 | €34 | LTA Padel Edinburgh; Playskan avg £24 blended |

**Notes:**
- London range is extremely wide (£20 suburban Zone 4 → £60 premium Zone 1). Model values use a mid-market estimate (not budget, not flagship).
- Indoor courts cost 15–25% more than outdoor across all UK cities.
- Off-peak/peak price gap is typically 10–30%; the figures above use the midpoint of reported ranges.

**Sources:** [TimeOut London Padel Map (March 2025)](https://www.timeout.com/london/news/a-comprehensive-map-of-londons-padel-courts-with-pricing-031925), [Playskan UK](https://www.playskan.com/play-padel), [Powerleague Padel Birmingham](https://www.powerleague.com/padel-birmingham), [Powerleague Manchester](https://www.powerleague.com/padel-manchester), [LTA Padel Edinburgh](https://www.ltapadel.org.uk/play/padel-in-your-area/padel-in-edinburgh/)

---

## 4. Court Hire Rates — United States

Listed in USD first, then EUR (×0.95). US padel is emerging but already price-leading globally in gateway cities.

| City | Off-Peak ($/hr) | Peak ($/hr) | Off-Peak (€/hr) | Peak (€/hr) | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | $40 | $60 | €38 | €57 | Ultra Padel: $25/player/90 min outdoor; One Padel Indoor ~$56/court |
| New York | $60 | $110 | €57 | €105 | Padel Haus Brooklyn: $55/person/hr peak (4 players = $220/court); off-peak ~$60 |
| Los Angeles | $60 | $100 | €57 | €95 | The Padel Courts Hollywood: $100/hr Premier; $50 Mini |
| Dallas | $20 | $30 | €19 | €28 | Padel39: $30/90-min drop-in (~$20/hr full court) |
| Austin | $20 | $30 | €19 | €28 | Padel39 Austin: $30/90 min |
| Chicago | $28 | $42 | €27 | €40 | Union Padel Club: $35/hr non-member (opened Jan 2026) |

**Notes:**
- NYC pricing is the highest in the world for a commercial club. Padel Haus's $55/person rate is for 4-player courts → $220/court/hour at peak. This is real pricing for this venue, but the model uses a more conservative estimate of $110/hr peak to reflect market positioning for a hypothetical new entrant.
- Ultra Padel Miami (26 courts, largest US facility) charges ~$45–50/court/hour; smaller indoor clubs charge more.
- Sun Belt cities (Dallas, Austin, Miami) see strong outdoor padel demand; Chicago and NYC are predominantly indoor.

**Sources:** [Ultra Padel Miami](https://ultrapadelclub.com/play), [Padel Haus Brooklyn](https://www.padel.haus/), [The Padel Courts LA](https://thepadelcourts.com/prices), [Padel39](https://www.padel39.com), [Union Padel Club Chicago](https://www.unionpadelclub.com/court-booking)

---

## 5. Commercial Rent by City

Padel clubs typically occupy 800–2,000 sqm of industrial/warehouse/sports hall space (not retail). Rents are for that category unless noted.

### Germany — Industrial/Warehouse Rent (€/sqm/month)

Data from Realogis H1 2024 Mietpreiskarte and Statista.

| City | Rent (€/sqm/mo) | Range | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Munich | €10.50 | €9.00–12.00 | Top-tier logistics market; prime rents at record high |
| Berlin | €10.50 | €9.00–12.00 | Comparable to Munich; strong demand |
| Hamburg | €9.00 | €8.00–10.50 | Key northern port logistics hub |
| Frankfurt | €7.95 | €7.00–9.50 | Realogis confirmed 2024 |
| Cologne | €8.25 | €7.50–9.00 | prim logistics corridor |
| Düsseldorf | €7.50 | €7.00–8.25 | Realogis H1 2024 |
| Stuttgart | €8.00 | €7.50–8.50 | Realogis H1 2024 |
| Leipzig | €5.90 | €5.00–7.00 | Eastern Germany discount |

**Source:** [Realogis Mietpreiskarte H1 2024](https://www.realogis.de/unternehmen/aktuelles/artikel/realogis-mietpreiskarte-h1-2024-spitzenmieten-fuer-logistikneubauten-in-deutschland-auf-hoechstniveau), [Statista DE industrial rents](https://de.statista.com/statistik/daten/studie/536669/umfrage/mietpreis-fuer-lager-und-logistikflaechen-in-koeln/)

### United Kingdom — Industrial/Commercial Rent (EUR/sqm/month)

UK rents are published in £/sqft/year; converted here. 1 sqft = 0.093 sqm → 1 sqft/year = 10.76 sqm/year.

| City | £/sqft/year | £/sqm/month | €/sqm/month | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| London (inner) | £25–35 | £22–31 | €26–37 | M25 industrial prime; padel clubs use Zone 3–5 space at lower end |
| London (model) | £22 | £20 | **€24** | Mid-market Zone 3–4 warehouse; used in model |
| Manchester | £7–9 | £6.3–8.1 | **€8** | Powerleague Ardwick-style industrial |
| Birmingham | £6–8 | £5.4–7.2 | **€7** | Midlands Golden Triangle |
| Edinburgh | £4–6 | £3.6–5.4 | **€5** | Scotland discount; less dense logistics market |

**Source:** [Lambert Smith Hampton Industrial Land Values 2022](https://content.knightfrank.com/research/2504/documents/en/industrial-land-values-research-2022-9242.pdf), [Statista UK Industrial Construction Cost 2024](https://www.statista.com/statistics/601846/industrial-building-cost-uk-2016/)

### United States — Industrial Lease Rates (EUR/sqm/month)

US rents are published in $/sqft/year; converted. Data from CommercialEdge and CoStar.

| City | $/sqft/year | $/sqm/month | €/sqm/month | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | $21.00 | $18.8 | **€18** | CommercialEdge Q2 2025 avg gross lease; South Florida +9.6% YoY |
| New York | $25–30 | $22.4–26.8 | **€23** | NYC/NJ industrial proxy; Brooklyn commercial median high |
| Los Angeles | $14–17 | $12.5–15.3 | **€13** | CommercialEdge; 11.6% YoY growth |
| Dallas | $7–11 | $6.3–9.8 | **€8** | Low-cost Texas industrial |
| Austin | $8–12 | $7.2–10.8 | **€9** | Slightly above Dallas (tech hub premium) |
| Chicago | $8–12 | $7.2–10.8 | **€8** | Midwest moderate |

**Source:** [CommercialEdge National Industrial Report Aug 2024](https://www.commercialedge.com/blog/national-industrial-report-august-2024/), [Built World Advisors Miami Q4 2025](https://builtworldadvisors.com/q4-2025-miami-industrial-market-update-a-submarket-by-submarket-breakdown/)

---

## 6. Operating Costs by Country

### Electricity

**Germany** — Gewerbestrom (commercial electricity, <100,000 kWh/year tier):

| Consumption tier | Rate (ct/kWh) | Year |
|---|---|---|
| Small commercial (10,000 kWh/yr) | 31.1 ct | 2025 |
| Medium commercial (50 MWh/yr) | 30.5 ct | Apr 2024 |
| New contracts, mid-size (100,000 kWh/yr) | 25.0 ct | Mid 2024 |
| Industrial (20–70 GWh/yr) | 15.8 ct | 2025 |

A 4–6 court indoor facility consumes ~100,000–200,000 kWh/year → commercial-tier rate **~€0.25–0.30/kWh**. Monthly electricity cost: **€2,000–€4,500**.

**Sources:** [Strom-Report Gewerbestrom](https://strom-report.com/strompreis-gewerbe/), [BDEW Strompreisanalyse](https://www.bdew.de/service/daten-und-grafiken/bdew-strompreisanalyse/), [GlobalPetrolPrices Germany](https://www.globalpetrolprices.com/Germany/electricity_prices/)

**United Kingdom** — Non-domestic electricity:

| Period | Rate (p/kWh) |
|---|---|
| Q4 2024 Ofgem non-domestic average | 26.0p |
| April 2025 range | 25.7–27.5p |
| Fixed 1-year contracts, June 2025 | 21.7–23.9p |

Monthly estimate for 4–6 court indoor UK facility: **£2,100–£3,900/month** (8,000–15,000 kWh/month at 25p).

**Source:** [Business Energy Deals Feb 2026](https://www.businessenergydeals.co.uk/business-electricity-prices/), [Utility4Business 2025](https://utility4business.com/blogs/business-electricity-costs-2025-uk)

**United States** — Commercial electricity by state (EIA, 2024 avg):

| State | Rate (ct/kWh) | Monthly bill (20,000 kWh) | EUR equiv. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas | 9.0¢ | $1,800 | €1,710 |
| Florida | 12.0¢ | $2,400 | €2,280 |
| Illinois | 11.0¢ | $2,200 | €2,090 |
| New York | 17.0¢ | $3,400 | €3,230 |
| California | 22.0¢ | $4,400 | €4,180 |

**Source:** [EIA Electric Power Monthly 2024](https://www.eia.gov/electricity/monthly/epm_table_grapher.php?t=epmt_5_6_a), [ElectricChoice.com by State Feb 2026](https://www.electricchoice.com/electricity-prices-by-state/)

---

### Staff Costs

**Germany** — Key wage benchmarks (2025):

| Role | Basis | Gross monthly | Employer cost (+22% social) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minimum wage | €12.82/hr × 173 hrs | €2,218 | €2,706 |
| Cleaner (Gebäudereinigung tariff) | €14.25/hr, 20 hrs/week | €1,235 | €1,507 |
| Reception staff | National avg full-time | €2,051 | €2,502 |
| Fitness/sports trainer | Avg full-time | €2,800 | €3,416 |
| **Total: lean 4-court club** | 2 reception + 1 coach + 1 cleaner | €8,109 gross | **~€9,900/month** |
| **Total: full 6-court club** | + manager | €11,609 gross | **~€14,200/month** |

**Sources:** [Mindestlohn 2025 / Fairgueten.de](https://fairgueten.de/wissen/mindestlohn-deutschland-2025/), [Reinigungskraft tariff / Blink.de](https://www.blink.de/blog/mindestlohn-reinigungskraft-2025/), [Stepstone Empfangsbereich 2025](https://www.stepstone.de/gehalt/Mitarbeiter-in-Empfangsbereich.html)

**United Kingdom** — Key wage benchmarks (2025):

| Role | Rate | Monthly cost |
|---|---|---|
| National Living Wage (21+) | £12.21/hr | — |
| Receptionist (sports/leisure) | £12–17.50/hr | £2,080–£3,033 |
| Padel coach | £26–40/hr; avg ~£35/hr | £4,550 full-time |
| Cleaner | £13–15/hr | £1,127 (20 hrs/wk) |
| **Total: lean 4-court club wages** | 2 reception + 2 coaches + 1 cleaner | **~£12,740/month** |
| **Total employer cost (+ NI 15% + pension 3%)** | | **~£15,200/month = €18,240** |

**Sources:** [GOV.UK NLW 2025](https://www.gov.uk/national-minimum-wage-rates), [Glassdoor UK Padel Coach](https://www.glassdoor.co.uk/Hourly-Pay/We-are-padel-Sports-Coach-Hourly-Pay-E8567625_D_KO13,25.htm)

**United States** — Key wage benchmarks (2025):

| State | Min wage | Gym receptionist avg | Padel coach avg | Cleaner (BLS median) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Federal | $7.25 | — | — | — |
| Florida | $14.00 | $18.22/hr | $19.70/hr | $17.27/hr |
| California | $16.90 | $18.22/hr | $40.71/hr (Hi Padel) | $17.27/hr |
| Texas | $7.25 | $18.22/hr | $19.70/hr | $17.27/hr |
| Illinois | $15.00 | $18.22/hr | $19.70/hr | $17.27/hr |
| New York (NYC) | $17.00 | $18.22/hr | $19.70/hr | $17.27/hr |

**Total monthly payroll benchmark (6-court US club, 6.5 FTE staff):** ~$23,700/month ≈ **€22,515/month**

**Sources:** [ZipRecruiter Padel Coach Salary Dec 2025](https://www.ziprecruiter.com/Salaries/Padel-Coach-Salary), [BLS Janitors & Cleaners OES 2023](https://www.bls.gov/oes/2023/may/oes372011.htm), [BusinessDojo Padel Club Operating Expenses 2026](https://dojobusiness.com/blogs/news/padel-center-costs-maintenance-equipment)

---

## 7. CAPEX Benchmarks by Country

### Court Construction Cost (per double court)

| Market | Range | Typical | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Germany (structure only) | €25,000–€35,000 | €30,000 | Outdoor; panoramic glass adds ~30% |
| Germany (complete outdoor incl. foundation) | €50,000–€80,000 | €65,000 | Site prep, lighting, fencing included |
| Europe (supply-only entry-level) | €18,000–€25,000 | €20,000 | ex-works, no installation |
| Europe (WPT-spec panoramic) | €35,000–€45,000 | €40,000 | Premium finish |
| United States | $24,000–$65,000 | $45,000 | Higher installation labour |
| United Kingdom | £18,000–£35,000 | £25,000 | Comparable to European rates |

**Sources:** [Padel-Test.de court costs](https://www.padel-test.de/en/padel-knowledge/paddle-court-costs/), [Sports Venue Calculator cost guide](https://sportsvenuecalculator.com/knowledge/padel-courts/padel-court-construction-cost/), [TennisTraveller.net build special](https://www.tennistraveller.net/en/blog/1261)

### Hall/Building Construction Cost (per sqm)

| Country | Range (€/sqm) | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Germany (steel sports hall) | €700–€1,100/sqm | BKI 2024; Gymnastikhalle ~€950/sqm base |
| Germany (new purpose-built, full fit-out) | €1,900–€2,250/sqm | BKI data for Sporthallen with tribune |
| United Kingdom (new-build sports hall) | €1,200–€1,800/sqm | £1,000–1,500/sqm; Sport England benchmarks |
| United States (commercial/sports) | €513–€713/sqm | $50–70/sqft Arrant Construction; lower fit-out spec |

**Sources:** [BKI Kostenrahmen Sporthallen 2024](https://imageserver.stadionwelt.de/Image/6/6/299c845739d0c7173521a9e9bbd4ed7ed6d2bd7b0764c8e464d51caf9bbbd5/Kostenrahmen_Sporthalle_BKI-2024.pdf), [Arrant Construction Sports Facility Texas 2026](https://www.arrantconstruction.com/sports-facility-construction-texas-complete-guide/)

### Permits & Compliance Budget

| Country | Method | Typical amount |
|---|---|---|
| Germany | 0.5% of construction value + plan-check + statutory inspections | €15,000–€37,500 for a €1.5–2.5M build |
| Germany (change-of-use only) | Nutzungsänderung flat fee | €500–€5,000 |
| United Kingdom | £635/75sqm band (1,000–3,750sqm building); plus noise survey, planning consultant | €12,000–€22,000 total |
| USA (Florida/Broward) | 1.85% of job valuation (RS Means) + DCA 1.5% surcharge | €20,000–€35,000 |
| USA (NYC) | $100 + $13 per $1,000 of construction cost | €15,000–€30,000 |
| USA (CA) | 1–5% of project value | €20,000–€50,000 |
| USA (Texas) | 0.5–2% of project value | €12,000–€25,000 |

**Sources:** [Ofina.de Bauantrag Kosten](https://www.ofina.de/baufinanzierung/bauantrag-kosten/), [GOV.UK planning fees from April 2025](https://www.gov.uk/guidance/fees-for-planning-applications), [Broward County Fee Schedule PDF](https://www.broward.org/Building/Forms/Documents/BCSD%20Fee%20Schedule.pdf), [NYC DOB Permit Fee Structure](https://www.nyc.gov/assets/buildings/pdf/new_permit_fee_structure.pdf), [HomeGuide Building Permit Costs 2026](https://homeguide.com/costs/building-permit-cost)

---

## 8. Recommended Seed Script Values per City

The table below provides recommended values for each input field, ready to plug into `seed_content.py`. All values are in **EUR** (or unitless for ratios). Values marked ⚠️ are estimates where direct data is sparse; verify before production use.

### Germany — 8 Cities

| City | `ratePeak` | `rateOffPeak` | `rentSqm` | `electricity` | `heating` | `staff` | `permitsCompliance` | `utilTarget` |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berlin | **46** | **33** | **10.50** | **3,000** | **1,200** | **11,000** | **28,000** | **0.35** |
| Munich | **42** | **30** | **10.50** | **3,200** | **1,500** | **12,000** | **30,000** | **0.35** |
| Hamburg | **36** | **26** | **9.00** | **2,800** | **1,200** | **10,500** | **25,000** | **0.33** |
| Frankfurt | **28** | **24** | **7.95** | **2,700** | **1,100** | **10,000** | **25,000** | **0.30** |
| Cologne | **27** | **22** | **8.25** | **2,700** | **1,100** | **10,000** | **24,000** | **0.30** |
| Düsseldorf | **42** ⚠️ | **30** ⚠️ | **7.50** | **2,700** | **1,100** | **10,000** | **24,000** | **0.30** |
| Stuttgart | **38** | **26** | **8.00** | **2,800** | **1,300** | **10,500** | **26,000** | **0.28** |
| Leipzig | **26** ⚠️ | **18** ⚠️ | **5.90** | **2,500** | **1,100** | **9,000** | **20,000** | **0.28** |

### United Kingdom — 4 Cities

| City | `ratePeak` | `rateOffPeak` | `rentSqm` | `electricity` | `heating` | `staff` | `permitsCompliance` | `utilTarget` |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| London | **72** | **36** | **24** | **4,200** | **1,200** | **18,000** | **24,000** | **0.40** |
| Manchester | **54** | **36** | **8** | **3,600** | **1,000** | **15,000** | **18,000** | **0.33** |
| Birmingham | **42** | **26** | **7** | **3,500** | **1,000** | **14,500** | **17,000** | **0.30** |
| Edinburgh | **34** | **22** | **5** | **3,200** | **1,100** | **14,000** | **17,000** | **0.30** |

### United States — 6 Cities

| City | `ratePeak` | `rateOffPeak` | `rentSqm` | `electricity` | `heating` | `staff` | `permitsCompliance` | `utilTarget` |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | **57** | **38** | **18** | **2,300** | **200** | **16,000** | **22,000** | **0.35** |
| New York | **105** | **57** | **23** | **3,400** | **400** | **22,000** | **28,000** | **0.38** |
| Los Angeles | **95** | **57** | **13** | **4,200** | **300** | **20,000** | **26,000** | **0.35** |
| Dallas | **28** | **19** | **8** | **1,800** | **500** | **14,500** | **18,000** | **0.30** |
| Austin | **28** | **19** | **9** | **1,800** | **400** | **15,000** | **18,000** | **0.30** |
| Chicago | **40** | **27** | **8** | **2,200** | **700** | **17,000** | **21,000** | **0.30** |

---

## 9. Land Price Reference (context only — not a model input field)

Padel clubs almost always **lease** rather than purchase land. Land prices are included here as context for investors evaluating lease vs. buy, or for purpose-built developments.

| Market | Land price range | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Munich (commercial) | €500–700/sqm | Urban commercial; logistics on city periphery cheaper |
| Berlin | €300–500/sqm | Growing gap between inner and outer districts |
| Frankfurt / Hamburg | €300–500/sqm | Prime commercial; logistics parks far lower |
| Cologne / Düsseldorf | €200–350/sqm | Rhine corridor; good logistics but not gateway-premium |
| Stuttgart | €250–400/sqm | Baden-Württemberg premium |
| Leipzig | €80–150/sqm | Eastern Germany discount |
| London (industrial) | £1,050–1,915/sqm (€1,260–2,300) | Constrained supply; M25 inside premium |
| Birmingham / Midlands | £247+/sqm (€296+) | Golden Logistics Triangle; strong demand |
| Manchester / Edinburgh | £100–200/sqm (€120–240) | Below London but rising |
| Miami-Dade (industrial) | $74/sqft = $797/sqm (€757) | +76% YoY in H1 2025 — highly volatile |
| NYC metro | $1,000+/sqm | Very constrained; Brooklyn industrial extremely expensive |
| Los Angeles | $500–800/sqm | SoCal logistics constrained |
| Dallas (commercial) | $12–49/sqm | Wide range; urban vs suburban |
| Austin | $50–120/sqm (urban core) | Tech-hub premium vs suburban |
| Chicago | $50–100/sqm | Midwest moderate |

**Sources:** [Statista UK industrial land by market](https://www.statista.com/statistics/1263353/industrial-land-value-united-kingdom-by-market/), [Miami Realtors South Florida Land Sales H1 2025](https://www.miamirealtors.com/2025/07/10/south-florida-land-sales-surge-leading-indicator-of-future-real-estate-development/), [Texas Real Estate Research Center Q3 2024](https://trerc.tamu.edu/article/texaslandmarket-2268/)

---

## 10. Methodology & Caveats

**Data collection:** Web searches conducted February 2026 using Playtomic booking pages, aggregators (Playskan, TimeOut, Padel Map USA), official planning authority documents, EIA electricity data, BLS wage surveys, Realogis/CommercialEdge real estate reports, and industry publications (DPV, Playtomic Global Padel Report 2025).

**Currency conversions** use approximate February 2026 mid-market rates: £1 = €1.20, $1 = €0.95. Apply a ±5% buffer for live transactions.

**Key limitations:**
1. **German city rates** — the majority of clubs price via Playtomic or proprietary apps without public web pages. Berlin has the most confirmed data; Munich and Leipzig are estimated.
2. **Electricity figures** — facility-level consumption estimates assume a 4-double-court indoor facility running 12 hours/day, 30 days/month. Actual consumption depends on HVAC spec, LED vs halogen, building insulation, and climate.
3. **Staff costs** — Germany and UK employer on-costs (+22% and +18% respectively) are included in the model values. US figures represent gross payroll only; add ~15% for FICA and workers' comp.
4. **US permits** — extremely jurisdiction-dependent. The Broward 1.85% is well-documented; NYC formula is clearly published. For Texas jurisdictions, the 0.5–2% national range is the only reliable guidance — verify with the local building department.
5. **US land prices (Miami especially)** — Miami-Dade industrial land rose 76% YoY in H1 2025. Any figures in this report will be stale for site-specific underwriting. Get a current broker appraisal.
6. **Utilisation targets** are planning estimates for a new club's first operating year. Mature clubs in established markets (Berlin, London, Miami) target 50–60%+ utilisation. The seed values use conservative 28–40% to model realistic break-even timelines.

---

*Report compiled from parallel web research, February 2026. For live underwriting, verify rates through Playtomic or direct venue enquiry.*

---

## 11. Demand-Side City Profiles

Data sources: national statistics offices, Wikipedia city infoboxes, Padelinsider.de / Padelfinder.de venue counts (cross-checked Feb 2026), LTA padel venue registry, USPA court directory, FIP World Padel Report 2025.

> **Court density** = registered courts ÷ population (city proper) × 100,000. Court counts are venue-aggregated estimates from Padelinsider / Playtomic / LTA / USPA as of early 2026; rapid growth means these figures may be understated within months.

### Germany — 8 Cities

| City | Population (city proper) | GDP/cap proxy | Courts (approx.) | Courts / 100k pop | Climate zone | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berlin | 3,590,000 ✅ | €38,000 ⚠️ | ~50 ⚠️ | ~1.4 | Cfb — humid continental, cold winters | Largest DE market; fastest venue growth; Padel FC (9 courts), PBC (6), Mitte (5), Lankwitz (4) among key venues |
| Munich | 1,490,000 ✅ | €65,300 ✅ | ~28 ⚠️ | ~1.9 | Dfb — continental, heavy winter snow | Highest income city in DE; PadelCity Munich, Padel Seasons (8 courts), Casa Padel network |
| Hamburg | 1,940,000 ✅ | €64,000 ✅ | ~35 ⚠️ | ~1.8 | Cfb — oceanic, wet and mild | Hanse Padel (16 courts), Padelon Hamburg-Hummelsbüttel (11 courts) anchor the market |
| Frankfurt | 770,000 ✅ | €83,400 ✅ | ~18 ⚠️ | ~2.3 | Cfb — oceanic | Highest GDP/cap in DE (financial hub); relatively small city footprint inflates density |
| Cologne | 1,090,000 ✅ | ~€40,000 ⚠️ | ~20 ⚠️ | ~1.8 | Cfb — oceanic | 5 locations, ~18–22 courts; Padel Walls Cologne is key operator |
| Düsseldorf | 640,000 ✅ | ~€45,000 ⚠️ | ~22 ⚠️ | ~3.4 | Cfb — oceanic | High-income Rhine corridor; We Are Padel franchise present; 4 locations, ~20 courts |
| Stuttgart | 640,000 ✅ | ~€50,000 ⚠️ | ~12 ⚠️ | ~1.9 | Cfb — slightly warmer | Baden-Württemberg industrial hub; Padeldir lists 17 clubs but many share courts; net courts lower |
| Leipzig | 630,000 ✅ | ~€28,000 ⚠️ | ~8 ⚠️ | ~1.3 | Dfb — continental | Lowest income Eastern city; PadelCity Leipzig (7 courts) dominant operator; nascent market |

**Germany total context:** DPV and FIP estimate Germany at 550+ padel locations / ~2,000+ courts nationally by end-2025, representing ~130% growth YoY in 2024. ⚠️ City-level court counts are aggregated from venue directories, not official DPV registrations.

### United Kingdom — 4 Cities

| City | Population (city proper) | GDP/cap proxy | Courts (approx.) | Courts / 100k pop | Climate zone | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| London | 9,650,000 ✅ | £69,000 (~€83k) ✅ | ~250 ⚠️ | ~2.6 | Cfb — oceanic, mild | LTA: GB reached 1,000 courts in July 2025 across 325 venues; London estimated ~25% share. Stratford (9), Rocket Padel (4), Padel Social Club (7), The Padel Yard (3) are notable venues |
| Manchester | 560,000 ✅ | £65,591 (~€79k) ✅ | ~60 ⚠️ | ~10.7 | Cfb — oceanic, wet | First city in Britain to develop a local padel plan (LTA + Manchester City Council). High density relative to city-proper population; metro area 2.8M |
| Birmingham | 1,150,000 ✅ | ~£30,000 (~€36k) ⚠️ | ~45 ⚠️ | ~3.9 | Cfb — oceanic | Powerleague multi-court facility key operator; below-average income vs London but growing padel market |
| Edinburgh | 530,000 ✅ | ~£35,000 (~€42k) ⚠️ | ~15 ⚠️ | ~2.8 | Cfb — cool oceanic | LTA Edinburgh page confirms ~2 clubs; Powerleague Scotland venues; cold winters reduce outdoor demand |

**UK total context:** LTA confirmed 1,000 courts across 325 venues in July 2025, up from 763 at end-2024 (+31% in 6 months). UK leads globally on GMV per court (€9,700/month, +74% YoY per Playtomic 2025 report). ⚠️ City-level splits are estimates based on proportional venue count from LTA venue map.

### United States — 6 Cities

| City | Population (city proper) | Median HH income | Courts (approx.) | Courts / 100k pop | Climate zone | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | 460,000 ✅ | ~$62,000 ⚠️ | ~80 ⚠️ | ~17.4 | Aw — tropical savanna | Ultra Padel (26 courts) alone makes Miami highest-density US market; outdoor-dominant, year-round play |
| New York | 8,340,000 ✅ | ~$70,000 ⚠️ | ~45 ⚠️ | ~0.5 | Cfa — humid subtropical | Very low density for city size; indoor-only due to climate/space constraints; Padel Haus Brooklyn anchor |
| Los Angeles | 3,900,000 ✅ | ~$80,000 ⚠️ | ~40 ⚠️ | ~1.0 | BSk/Csb — semi-arid | The Padel Courts Hollywood; year-round outdoor possible; courts concentrated in West Side / Hollywood |
| Dallas | 1,300,000 ✅ | ~$58,000 ⚠️ | ~25 ⚠️ | ~1.9 | Cfa — humid subtropical | Padel39 flagship market; hot summers drive indoor preference Jul–Sep |
| Austin | 980,000 ✅ | ~$72,000 ⚠️ | ~18 ⚠️ | ~1.8 | Cfa — humid subtropical | Tech hub; above-average income; Padel39 Austin; strong growth trajectory |
| Chicago | 2,700,000 ✅ | ~$62,000 ⚠️ | ~20 ⚠️ | ~0.7 | Dfa — humid continental | Cold winters require indoor-only; Union Padel Club (opened Jan 2026); emerging market |

**US total context:** USPA reports ~688 courts in operation across 31 states as of Q2 2025, with ~352 new courts built in 2024. Florida, California, and Texas lead in court count; Northeast/Midwest growing fastest. ⚠️ City-level counts are aggregated from USPA directory, Padel Dynasty (2024), and operator websites.

**Sources:** [Padelinsider.de city pages](https://padelinsider.de/), [LTA 1,000 courts milestone](https://www.ltapadel.org.uk/news/padels-rapid-rise-great-britain-reaches-1000-padel-courts/), [USPA court directory](https://padelusa.org/us-padel-clubs/), [FIP World Padel Report 2025](https://thepadelpaper.com/fip-world-padel-report-2025/), [Worldpopulationreview Germany cities](https://worldpopulationreview.com/cities/germany), [List of German cities by GDP — Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_German_cities_by_GDP), [House of Commons London GDP briefing](https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/cdp-2025-0153/), [Padel Business Magazine USPA growth](https://newsletter.padelbusinessmagazine.com/p/global-growth-accelerates-padel-courts-worldwide-exceed-70-000)

---

## 12. CAPEX Breakdown by Component

All prices are per double court (10m × 20m playing surface) unless noted. Installation labour is included unless stated as supply-only (ex-works).

### Component Cost Matrix — per Double Court

| Component | Germany (€) | UK (£ → €) | USA ($ → €) | Confidence | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| **Steel frame / structure** | €8,000–12,000 | £7,000–10,000 (→€8,400–12,000) | $8,000–14,000 (→€7,600–13,300) | ⚠️ Est. | Q235 hot-dip galvanised; includes uprights and horizontal rails. Supply-only ex-works China ~€4,000; European-assembled ~€10,000 |
| **Panoramic glass walls** | €9,500–16,000 | £9,000–14,000 (→€10,800–16,800) | $9,500–11,500 (→€9,000–10,900) | ✅ High | 10–12mm tempered glass; panoramic (360°) costs ~20% more than standard back-glass-only. Prices confirmed from Fortune Padel, MejorSet, Padel Hispania quotes |
| **Artificial turf (surface)** | €4,500–8,000 | £4,200–7,500 (→€5,000–9,000) | $5,000–9,500 (→€4,750–9,000) | ✅ High | Court footprint = 200 sqm. FIP-approved: 8–12mm pile, sand-rubber infill. €12–22/sqm supply + lay in Europe; €14–22/sqm in North America. Annual maintenance ~€2–3/sqm |
| **LED sports lighting** | €4,000–7,000 | £3,500–6,500 (→€4,200–7,800) | $3,500–6,500 (→€3,300–6,200) | ✅ High | 8 × 200W fixtures per court = 1.6 kW total. Fixtures: €1,800–3,000; poles/brackets/wiring: €1,000–2,000; installation labour: €1,200–2,000. Full LED vs halogen saves 50–75% on electricity |
| **Foundation & site prep** | €5,000–10,000 | £5,000–12,000 (→€6,000–14,400) | $5,000–15,000 (→€4,750–14,250) | ✅ High | Excavation, drainage, compaction, concrete slab. Varies heavily by ground conditions |
| **Fencing / mesh panels** | €2,000–4,000 | £1,800–3,500 (→€2,200–4,200) | $2,500–5,000 (→€2,400–4,750) | ✅ High | Hot-dip galvanised wire mesh for non-glass sections |
| **Subtotal: outdoor double court (supply + install)** | **€33,000–57,000** | **£30,000–53,500 (→€36,000–64,200)** | **$33,500–61,500 (→€31,800–58,400)** | ✅ High | Consistent with §7 benchmarks; outdoor only, no enclosure |

### Indoor-Only Additional Costs (per facility, not per court)

| Component | Germany (€) | UK (£ → €) | USA ($ → €) | Confidence | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| **Steel portal frame hall** (per sqm of GFA) | €350–550/sqm | £300–480/sqm (→€360–576/sqm) | $180–300/sqm (→€171–285/sqm) | ⚠️ Est. | A 4-court facility needs ~1,200–1,500 sqm of gross floor area (including service areas). US lower due to lighter spec and lower labour |
| **Roof + cladding** (single-skin membrane) | €80–130/sqm | £70–120/sqm (→€84–144/sqm) | $50–100/sqm (→€48–95/sqm) | ⚠️ Est. | Included in portal frame quote by many contractors; separated here for clarity |
| **HVAC / climate system** (4-court hall) | €80,000–150,000 | £70,000–130,000 (→€84,000–156,000) | $60,000–120,000 (→€57,000–114,000) | ⚠️ Est. | Heating + ventilation mandatory for indoor; A/C adds ~40% in hot climates (US South, Texas). Condensation control critical to protect turf. HVAC typically 70% of ongoing climate cost |
| **Changing rooms & showers** (4-court standard) | €40,000–80,000 | £35,000–70,000 (→€42,000–84,000) | $30,000–70,000 (→€28,500–66,500) | ⚠️ Est. | Male/female changing rooms, showers, lockers, WC. Upscale finish doubles this budget |
| **Reception / lobby fit-out** | €20,000–40,000 | £18,000–35,000 (→€21,600–42,000) | $15,000–35,000 (→€14,250–33,250) | ⚠️ Est. | Desk, point-of-sale, waiting area, equipment storage/retail |

### Total Facility CAPEX Ranges (indicative)

| Facility type | Courts | Germany (€) | UK (£ → €) | USA ($ → €) | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outdoor club (courts + lighting + foundation) | 4 | €200,000–350,000 | £160,000–280,000 (→€192,000–336,000) | $180,000–320,000 (→€171,000–304,000) | ✅ High |
| Indoor club (courts + hall + HVAC + fit-out) | 4 | €700,000–1,200,000 | £600,000–1,050,000 (→€720,000–1,260,000) | $500,000–950,000 (→€475,000–903,000) | ✅ High |
| Indoor club (courts + hall + HVAC + fit-out) | 6 | €1,000,000–1,700,000 | £850,000–1,500,000 (→€1,020,000–1,800,000) | $750,000–1,400,000 (→€713,000–1,330,000) | ⚠️ Est. |

**Notes on regional variation:**
- Germany: Higher construction labour and engineering compliance (BauO, TÜV inspections) add 10–20% vs equivalent UK spec.
- UK: LTA construction guidance note (2025) quotes £45,000–£80,000 per indoor single court all-in.
- USA: Lower labour costs in Texas/Florida; higher in California (+30%) and New York (+40%) due to Davis-Bacon / local union rules.
- Indoor courts are typically 20–40% more expensive than outdoor equivalent.

**Sources:** [Sports Venue Calculator CAPEX guide](https://sportsvenuecalculator.com/knowledge/padel-courts/padel-court-construction-cost/), [BusinessDojo Padel Court Build 2025](https://dojobusiness.com/blogs/news/how-much-build-padel-court), [Padel One Courts US breakdown](https://www.padelonecourts.com/post/how-much-does-a-padel-court-cost-in-the-u-s), [WePadel 2025 installation cost](https://www.wepadel.com/blog/2025-padel-court-installation-cost), [Padel.fyi build guide 2024](https://www.padel.fyi/articles/padel-court-cost/), [Sports Venue Calculator LED lighting guide](https://sportsvenuecalculator.com/knowledge/led-sports-lighting/padel-court-lighting/), [Mighty Grass turf cost guide](https://www.mightygrass.com/how-much-does-a-padel-turf-court-cost/), [LTA padel construction guidance 2025](https://www.lta.org.uk/siteassets/padel/lta-padel-court-construction-guidance-note-2025.pdf), [FinancialModelsLab Padel Center CAPEX](https://financialmodelslab.com/blogs/startup-costs/padel-center), [Swegon HVAC padel halls guide](https://www.swegon.com/siteassets/4-guides/application-guides/sports-facilities/good-indoor-climate-in-padel-halls-swegon.pdf)

---

## 13. Insurance Cost Benchmarks

Insurance for padel clubs is still an emerging product category. Brokers generally classify padel as a hybrid of tennis (enclosed court) and squash (high-impact enclosed environment). Data from UK specialist brokers is most mature; German and US figures are partially estimated.

### Coverage Types Required for a Commercial Padel Club

| Coverage type | What it covers | Typical limit |
|---|---|---|
| Public liability (PL) | Injury to players, spectators, visitors on premises | £/€/$2–10M per occurrence |
| Employer's liability (EL) | Claims by employees injured at work | £10M (UK statutory minimum) |
| Property / contents | Building structure, glass walls, turf, fixtures | Replacement value of facility |
| Equipment / court surfaces | Specific cover for glass panels, turf replacement | Per court or per facility |
| Business interruption | Revenue lost if courts are unusable (flood, fire, damage) | 12–24 months revenue |
| Professional indemnity | Claims from coaching malpractice or inadequate instruction | £1–2M (optional for clubs with in-house coaching) |

### UK Insurance Cost Benchmarks

| Facility size | Public liability | Property/contents | Employer's liab. | Approx. total/year | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-court outdoor club | £900–1,500/year | £1,500–3,000/year | £500–800/year | **£3,000–5,300/year** | ⚠️ Est. |
| 4-court indoor club | £1,800–4,000/year | £5,000–12,000/year | £800–1,500/year | **£7,600–17,500/year** | ⚠️ Est. |
| 6-court indoor club | £2,500–6,000/year | £8,000–18,000/year | £1,200–2,500/year | **£11,700–26,500/year** | ⚠️ Est. |

**UK notes:**
- Public liability insurance for padel venues: ~£900–1,500 per annum per court (Insure24 benchmark, 2025).
- LTA via Howden Group provides packaged tennis/padel club insurance; policy limit up to £60M per year.
- Specialist padel brokers: Lime Street Brokers, Ascott Insurance, Howden Group.
- Employers' liability is compulsory for any club with paid staff (Employers' Liability Act 1969).
- Buildings insurance premium depends on rebuild value; glass wall elements require specialist glass cover.

### Germany Insurance Cost Benchmarks

| Coverage | Mechanism | Approx. annual cost | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vereinshaftpflicht (club PL) | Association framework contract or standalone; Haftpflicht covers personal injury + property damage | €800–3,000/year | ⚠️ Est. |
| Sachversicherung (property/contents) | Covers artificial turf, glass, steel frame against fire, storm, flood, vandalism | €2,000–6,000/year | ⚠️ Est. |
| Betriebsunterbrechung (business interruption) | Optional; required by lenders if facility is financed | €500–2,000/year | ⚠️ Est. |
| **4–6 court indoor facility total** | | **€3,300–11,000/year** | ⚠️ Est. |

**Germany notes:**
- German sports clubs typically obtain PL via Landessportbund framework (cheaper; DPV membership may include basic PL cover).
- Commercial padel operators (GmbH / UG) must purchase standalone Gewerbehaftpflicht, not club rates.
- ARAG and Sportversicherung provider via Bernhard Assekuranz are active in this space.
- Premium set by replacement value and location; no padel-specific published tariff found in public sources.

### USA Insurance Cost Benchmarks

| Coverage | Mechanism | Approx. annual cost | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| General liability (per occurrence) | $1M–2M per occurrence; $2M–4M aggregate | $3,500–8,000/year | ⚠️ Est. |
| Commercial property | Building + contents at replacement value | $2,000–10,000/year | ⚠️ Est. |
| Workers' compensation | Varies by state; ~$3–5 per $100 payroll in sports sector | $3,000–7,000/year | ⚠️ Est. |
| **4–6 court indoor facility total** | | **$8,500–25,000/year (→€8,100–23,750)** | ⚠️ Est. |

**USA notes:**
- Minimum premium for sports complex programs (K&K Insurance): $3,500/year.
- Pickleball/padel-specific bundled program available (PIP Program — Property, Liability, Liquor, Assault in one package).
- State variance is high: California workers' comp and litigation risk adds ~20–30% to total insurance budget vs Texas or Florida.
- USPA recommends consulting Dustin Decker at RedNil Brokers for padel-specific coverage.

### Recommended Model Allowances (EUR/year)

| Facility | Germany | UK | USA |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4-court indoor club | **€5,000–8,000** | **€9,600–18,000** | **€8,500–19,000** |
| 6-court indoor club | **€7,000–11,000** | **€14,000–26,000** | **€12,000–24,000** |

> Insurance is not currently a separate model field in `seed_content.py`. It is recommended to account for it within a general `operatingOverhead` line or as a fixed annual addition to the cost model. A conservative seed value for a 4-court indoor club across all markets is **€10,000/year (€835/month)**.

**Sources:** [Insure24 Padel Court Insurance guide](https://www.insure24.co.uk/blog/padel-court-insurance-complete-guide-for-court-operators-in-the-uk/), [Lime Street Brokers Padel](https://limestreetbrokers.com/products/sports-leisure/padel/), [Howden Group / LTA insurance](https://www.howdengroup.com/uk-en/lawn-tennis-association/clubs-and-venues), [K&K Insurance Sports Complex](https://www.kandkinsurance.com/programs/sports-insurance/sports-complex-insurance), [USPA FAQs insurance](https://padelusa.org/faqs/), [ARAG Sportversicherung](https://www.arag.de/vereinsversicherung/sportversicherung/), [Bernhard Assekuranz sports](https://bernhard-assekuranz.com/sportversicherungen/), [Thepadeldirectory.co.uk UK step guide](https://www.thepadeldirectory.co.uk/post/how-to-open-a-padel-facility-in-the-uk---step-by-step-guide-with-costs)

---

## 14. Seasonal Utilisation Patterns

### Overview: Indoor vs. Outdoor Demand by Season

| Season | Outdoor demand | Indoor demand | Key driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| Winter (Dec–Feb) | Very low (Nordic/UK/DE/US North); High (Miami, LA, Texas) | Very high in cold climates; High everywhere | Daylight, temperature, precipitation |
| Spring (Mar–May) | Rising; weather variable in DE/UK | Still high until outdoor season peaks | Transition period; most volatile |
| Summer (Jun–Aug) | Peak for outdoor (DE/UK/Nordic); Reduced (Miami heat, TX sun) | Drops in Nordic/UK markets; Stays high in hot climates (AC) | Heat drives indoor in Sun Belt; warmth drives outdoor in Northern Europe |
| Autumn (Sep–Nov) | Declining; good weather window Sep–Oct | Rising sharply from Oct | Back-to-sport season; corporate memberships renew |

### Nordic / UK / German Markets (Dfb/Cfb Climate Zones)

- Indoor padel facilities in these zones show an **inverted seasonal pattern**: peak utilisation December–January, trough June–July.
- The pattern mirrors broader indoor sports demand: school terms drive autumn/spring peaks; summer holidays suppress demand.
- Source: machine-learning occupancy study (DiVA portal, Sweden) found indoor padel facilities peak in Dec–Jan and trough Jun–Jul. ✅
- In the UK, clubs offering membership plus additional services (clinics, social play) report year-round occupancy above 60%, while outdoor-only operators see utilisation fall to 20–30% in winter.
- Germany: outdoor courts in Berlin and Hamburg are typically unusable November–March due to frost and precipitation; operators either close outdoor courts or add temporary bubble/tent covers.

### Sun Belt USA / Miami Climate (Aw/Cfa)

- Miami and South Florida: outdoor courts are **year-round viable**. Peak booking demand September–May (when northern snowbirds arrive and heat subsides).
- Summer (Jun–Sep): extreme heat and afternoon thunderstorms suppress outdoor demand 15:00–19:00; indoor air-conditioned courts see **premium pricing** in summer.
- Texas (Dallas, Austin): brutal summers (Jun–Aug, 38°C+) drive a strong indoor preference. Clubs report outdoor utilisation dropping 30–40% in July–August peak heat.
- Chicago/NYC: winter-only indoor markets. Courts open late 2023–2026 are exclusively indoor; outdoor seasonal pop-up courts viable May–October only.

### Seasonal Utilisation Index (Estimated, Indoor Facility)

Index = 100 at annual average; values above/below show monthly relative demand.

| Month | Berlin/Hamburg/London (indoor) | Miami/Dallas (indoor) | Chicago/NYC (indoor) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 125 | 90 | 120 |
| Feb | 120 | 85 | 115 |
| Mar | 110 | 85 | 105 |
| Apr | 95 | 90 | 95 |
| May | 80 | 95 | 85 |
| Jun | 70 | 110 | 80 |
| Jul | 65 | 120 | 85 |
| Aug | 65 | 125 | 90 |
| Sep | 90 | 110 | 100 |
| Oct | 110 | 100 | 110 |
| Nov | 120 | 90 | 115 |
| Dec | 130 | 85 | 120 |

> ⚠️ Est. — Index values are estimated from seasonal demand descriptions in industry sources (DiVA academic study, Legendsports.com, Superbpadel.com, Padel Magazine France/UK). No publicly available granular Playtomic monthly booking dataset was found.

### Pricing and Revenue Seasonal Impact

- France data (industry report): average indoor reservation €32, outdoor €24 — a 33% indoor premium. ✅
- USA: indoor/outdoor gap is more pronounced — $90 indoor vs $60 outdoor average (~50% premium). ✅
- Outdoor operators in cold climates (Berlin, Hamburg, Edinburgh) should model **October–March as 60–70% of average monthly revenue** and April–September as **110–130%** to reflect seasonal swing.
- Indoor operators in the same markets should use a flatter curve (±20% monthly variance) but plan for a summer marketing push to fill the trough months.

### Climate Zone Summary for the 18 Model Cities

| City | Climate (Köppen) | Outdoor viability | Indoor critical? | Peak season |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Munich | Dfb | Apr–Oct | Yes | Oct–Mar |
| Berlin | Cfb | Apr–Oct | Yes | Oct–Mar |
| Hamburg | Cfb | Apr–Oct | Yes | Oct–Mar |
| Frankfurt | Cfb | Apr–Oct | Yes | Oct–Mar |
| Cologne | Cfb | Apr–Oct | Yes | Oct–Mar |
| Düsseldorf | Cfb | Apr–Oct | Yes | Oct–Mar |
| Stuttgart | Cfb | Apr–Oct | Yes | Oct–Mar |
| Leipzig | Dfb | Apr–Sep | Yes | Oct–Mar |
| London | Cfb | Apr–Oct | Yes | Oct–Mar |
| Manchester | Cfb | May–Sep | Yes | Oct–Mar |
| Edinburgh | Cfb | May–Sep | Yes | Oct–Apr |
| Birmingham | Cfb | Apr–Oct | Yes | Oct–Mar |
| Miami | Aw | Year-round | Beneficial (AC) | Sep–May |
| New York | Cfa | May–Oct | Yes | Oct–Apr |
| Los Angeles | BSk/Csb | Year-round | Beneficial (AC) | Year-round even |
| Dallas | Cfa | Oct–May | Yes (Jun–Sep) | Oct–May |
| Austin | Cfa | Oct–May | Yes (Jun–Sep) | Oct–May |
| Chicago | Dfa | May–Sep | Yes | Oct–Apr |

**Sources:** [DiVA machine-learning padel occupancy study (Sweden)](https://www.diva-portal.org/smash/get/diva2:1712822/FULLTEXT01.pdf), [Legendsports Indoor vs Outdoor ROI](https://www.legendsports.com/industry-news/indoor-vs-outdoor-padel-courts-maximizing-roi-and-year-round-profitability/), [Superbpadel indoor design guide](https://superbpadel.com/how-to-design-a-profitable-indoor-padel-court-for-year-round-operation/), [Padel Magazine FR indoor/outdoor balance](https://padel-magazine.co.uk/terrains-indoor-vs-outdoor-un-equilibre-delicat-entre-meteo-prix-et-rentabilite/), [Reform Sports indoor vs outdoor guide](https://en.reformsports.com/should-a-padel-court-be-indoor-or-outdoor/), [PadelMagic UK pros/cons](https://www.padelmagic.co.uk/padel-news/playing-padel-indoors-vs-outdoors-pros-and-cons-for-facility-managers)

---

## 15. Playtomic & Platform Market Data

### Platform Overview

Playtomic is the dominant global padel booking platform, operating in 60+ countries and serving as the primary data source for industry benchmarks. Its annual Global Padel Report (2025 edition produced with PwC) is the most cited primary source in the industry.

### GMV per Court by Country (Playtomic Global Padel Report 2025)

GMV = Gross Monetary Value = monthly court rental revenue booked through the platform.

| Country | GMV per court/month (2024) | YoY growth vs 2023 | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Kingdom | **€9,700/month** | **+74%** | ✅ High — Playtomic 2025 report |
| Germany | **€4,000/month** | **+48%** | ✅ High — Playtomic 2025 report |
| Spain | ~€3,500/month (est.) | +16% | ✅ Mature market; lowest growth, highest base volume |
| Italy | ~€3,200/month (est.) | +11% | ✅ Maturing; court glut in some cities |
| Benelux | ~€3,100/month (est.) | +12% | ✅ |
| Indonesia | ❓ | +173% | ✅ High growth; small base |
| USA | ❓ Unavailable | ❓ | ❓ US data not published in 2025 report summary |

**Implied model check (Germany):** At €4,000 GMV/month and ~30% utilisation (450 bookable slot-hours/month), the implied blended rate is ~€29/hr — consistent with the §2 data showing €25–42/hr across DE cities.

**Implied model check (UK):** At €9,700 GMV/month and ~35% utilisation, the implied blended rate is ~€62/hr — consistent with London peak rates of €54–72/hr pulling the national average up significantly.

### Court Growth & Global Market Scale

| Metric | Value | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Global courts (end 2024, Playtomic dataset) | 50,000+ | Playtomic Global Padel Report 2025 | ✅ |
| Global courts (end 2025, FIP World Padel Report) | 77,300 | FIP World Padel Report 2025 (Dec 2025) | ✅ |
| Global clubs | 24,600+ | FIP 2025 | ✅ |
| New courts built in 2025 | ~14,355 | FIP 2025 | ✅ |
| Global padel players | 35+ million | FIP 2025 | ✅ |
| New court opening rate | Every 2.5 hours worldwide | Playtomic / FIP 2025 | ✅ |
| Player return rate (after first session) | 92% | Playtomic 2025 | ✅ |
| UK courts (end 2024) | 763 | LTA | ✅ |
| UK courts (July 2025) | 1,000+ | LTA | ✅ |
| Germany courts (locations, 2025) | 550+ | FIP/DPV | ✅ |
| US courts (Q2 2025) | 688 | USPA | ✅ |

### Booking Pattern Data

| Metric | Value | Confidence | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peak demand window | 17:00–23:00 weekdays, all weekend | ✅ | BusinessDojo / industry consensus |
| Peak hour occupancy (mature markets) | 80–90% | ✅ | Industry operators, BusinessDojo |
| Off-peak occupancy (weekday daytime) | 20–40% | ✅ | Industry operators |
| Prime-time booking lead time | 7–10 days in advance | ✅ | BusinessDojo |
| Off-peak booking lead time | 0–48 hours | ✅ | BusinessDojo |
| Last-minute bookings share (off-peak) | Frequent; rare at peak | ✅ | BusinessDojo |
| Cancellation / no-show rate | 5–10% per day | ✅ | Operator benchmarks |
| Weekend price premium vs weekday | +20–50% | ✅ | Industry consensus |
| Digital vs non-digital club revenue gap | 3–5× outperformance | ⚠️ Est. | Playtomic 2025 (marketing claim) |

### Revenue KPI Benchmarks for Financial Modelling

| KPI | Benchmark | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Target annual utilisation (new club, yr 1) | 28–40% | §8 seed values; conservative for break-even modelling |
| Target annual utilisation (mature club, yr 3+) | 50–65% | Industry operator benchmark |
| Target peak-hour utilisation | 70–85% (max 90%) | Above 90% creates access scarcity and churn |
| GMV per court (UK leader) | €9,700/month | Playtomic 2025; highest globally |
| GMV per court (Germany emerging) | €4,000/month | Playtomic 2025; +48% YoY; growing fast |
| Padel clubs using Playtomic vs not | 3–5× revenue outperformance claimed | Playtomic marketing; treat as directional only |
| Booking type mix (mature market, e.g. Spain) | 80–90% open matches; 10–20% classes/events | Revenue per hour higher for open matches |
| Booking type mix (emerging market, e.g. US, DE) | Classes/social events dominant in early phase | Coaching and intro sessions critical to customer acquisition |

### Market Size Projections

| Market | 2025 value | Projected (2035) | CAGR | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global padel sports market | $248M | $661M | 10.3% | ⚠️ Est. (market research firm; methodology opaque) |
| Global court construction market | Growing at ~39% annually | — | — | ✅ FIP 2025 |
| Padel retail equipment market | Growing at ~47% annually | — | — | ✅ FIP 2025 |

**Sources:** [Playtomic Global Padel Report 2025](https://playtomic.com/global-padel-report), [The Bandeja Playtomic 2025 summary](https://thebandeja.com/playtomic-global-padel-report-2025/), [The Padel Paper Playtomic 2025](https://thepadelpaper.com/playtomic-global-padel-report-2025/), [Padel Business Magazine: 50,000 courts](https://newsletter.padelbusinessmagazine.com/p/playtomic-report-global-padel-courts-top-50-000-up-17-in-2024), [FIP World Padel Report 2025](https://thepadelpaper.com/fip-world-padel-report-2025/), [FIP 77,000 courts announcement](https://newsletter.padelbusinessmagazine.com/p/fip-report-global-padel-courts-exceed-77-000-up-15-2-in-2025), [LTA 1,000 courts milestone](https://www.ltapadel.org.uk/news/padels-rapid-rise-great-britain-reaches-1000-padel-courts/), [BusinessDojo padel KPIs](https://financialmodelslab.com/blogs/kpi-metrics/padel-center), [BusinessDojo daily bookings](https://dojobusiness.com/blogs/news/padel-center-daily-bookings-profit), [Squash Facilities: Playtomic 2025 key findings](https://www.squashfacilities.com/post/padel-goes-global-key-findings-from-the-2025-playtomic-report), [Padeltelegraph statistics 2025](https://padeltelegraph.com/padel-statistics/), [USPA clubs directory](https://padelusa.org/us-padel-clubs/)

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*Sections 11–15 appended February 2026 via parallel web research. Data confidence markers: ✅ High (confirmed source), ⚠️ Est. (extrapolated or aggregated from proxies), ❓ Unavailable (not found in public sources).*