Admin articles list: - Group EN/DE language variants into a single row (grouped by url_path) - Language chips (● EN/● DE) coloured by status: green=live, amber=scheduled, blue=draft - Inline View ↗ (live only) and Edit buttons per variant — one-click access - Filter by language switches back to flat single-row view - Live HTMX polling of article counts while generation runs (every 3s, self-terminates) - Table overflow fix: card gets overflow:hidden, table wrapped in overflow-x:auto scroll div Bug fixes: - X-Forwarded-Proto: pass $http_x_forwarded_proto through Nginx so Quart sees https - pipeline_routes.py: fix relative import for analytics module (from .analytics → from ..analytics) - Scheduled articles: redirect to parent path instead of 404 when not yet published - city-cost-de: change priority_column from population to padel_venue_count - Quote wizard step 4: make location_status required - Article generation: use COUNT(*) instead of 501-sentinel hack for row counts - Makefile: pin Tailwind v4.1.18, add dev/help targets, uv run python, .PHONY Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
536 lines
25 KiB
Markdown
536 lines
25 KiB
Markdown
# Padelnomics — Marketing Master Doc
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> Living doc. Update state column as things progress. Last updated: 2026-02-22.
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---
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## Positioning & Messaging
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**One-liner:** "The only platform that helps you plan, fund, and build a padel facility with real market data — not guesswork."
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**DaaS framing (aspirational):** "Bloomberg for padel hall operators." We sell unfair advantages to people making six-figure facility investment decisions — using data nobody else is aggregating.
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**30-second pitch:**
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> We're building the data intelligence platform for the padel industry. We start with a free court planning tool that captures every aspiring padel entrepreneur via SEO. Then we layer real market intelligence on top — occupancy data, pricing, demand gaps, competitive analysis — scraped and aggregated from booking platforms. Operators making €200K decisions pay €79–149/month to de-risk their investment. As the market grows from 25K to 50K+ facilities, we become the industry-standard data backbone. Think "Kpler for padel" — bootstrapped, capital-efficient, moat that compounds daily.
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**Core insight:** The job is never "I need a calculator." It's "I need to feel confident committing €200K+." Confidence is the product. Calculator is the vehicle.
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**Investment reality (from `research/padel-hall-economics.md`):** 4-court outdoor commercial = €200K–€350K. Any indoor hall = €700K–€3M+. These are the primary addressable buyers. Single-court installs (€33K–€80K, mostly hotel/corporate add-ons) exist but are not the target for the lead marketplace — suppliers filter them out by project size anyway.
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### Why This Works (DaaS Thesis)
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| Check | Answer |
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|-------|--------|
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| High-stakes decisions? | ✅ €100K–€500K facility investments |
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| Information asymmetry? | ✅ No centralized market data exists |
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| Willingness to pay? | ✅ B2B operators, not casual players |
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| Unique data capability? | ✅ Playtomic scraping + multi-source aggregation |
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| 500+ potential customers? | ✅ ~25,000 padel facilities globally, growing to 50K+ |
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| Low commoditization risk? | ✅ Historical data depth = compounding moat |
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**Analogy:** Kpler started by tracking LNG cargo shipments in an opaque commodity market. We're doing the same for padel: tracking "demand shipments" (bookings) across an opaque facility market.
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### Competitive Positioning
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| vs. | Their position | Our position |
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|-----|---------------|--------------|
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| Playtomic | OpenTable for padel — booking marketplace for players | Restaurant P&L analytics suite — optimizing for operators. Complementary, we sit on top of their data. |
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| Padelfinder | Directory, no planning tools | Intelligence layer + planning + directory |
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| Sportstättenrechner | Generic sports calculators, not padel-specific | Padel-specific, automated, with data moat |
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| Generic BI (Tableau, Power BI) | Operator finds, cleans, models own data | Padel-specific insights out of the box. No setup, no data engineering. Just answers. |
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| Nothing (current state) | Excel, gut feel, word of mouth. The real competitor. | 10× faster with 10× better data. |
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---
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## Platform Model (Two-Sided)
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Padelnomics is a two-sided marketplace. Both sides must be acquired and retained.
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```
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Side A — Aspiring Owners Side B — Suppliers / Builders
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(Lead Supply) (Lead Demand / Revenue Engine)
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Free planner → email capture →→→ Lead marketplace → credits → MRR
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↓ ↑
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SEO traffic drives acquisition Outreach + founding deals
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↓ ↑
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Small direct revenue Main revenue: subscriptions + credits + upsells
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(PDF export, market intel)
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```
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**Chicken-and-egg cold start:** Need aspiring owners using the planner to have leads. Need leads to sell supplier subscriptions. Need supplier directory for aspiring owners to trust the platform. Solve by: (1) launching calculator publicly first to build Side A, (2) simultaneously signing 2–3 founding suppliers at steep discount for social proof.
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---
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## Audiences
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### Side A — Aspiring Owners (Lead Supply)
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> First-time facility investor, €200K–2M decision. Primarily DACH.
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**Job:** "Validate the opportunity with real data and build a credible financial case, so I can make a confident go/no-go decision and secure funding."
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**Struggling moments (= acquisition triggers):**
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1. "I've been talking about this for months and I need to decide"
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2. "The bank asked for a business plan and I have no idea what to put in it"
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3. "I found conflicting information and I don't know what to trust"
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4. "A competitor just opened nearby — is there still room?"
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5. "My partner/spouse is skeptical and I need proof"
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**Emotional job:** Feel smart and diligent, not like someone who gambled on hype.
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**Social job:** Look professional and thorough to banks / investors / spouse. ← underserved, pricing lever.
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**Acquired via:** SEO, free calculator, content marketing.
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**Direct revenue:** Business plan PDF (€149), market intel subscriptions (future).
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#### Beachhead Sub-segment — Tennis/Sports Club Owner (Germany)
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> Seeing padel demand from members, competitors adding courts. ~500–1,000 targets. Club board vote, not investor pitch.
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**Why start here:** Small enough to dominate, talk to each other (DTB/federations), fastest decision cycle.
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**Whole product needed:** Club-specific planner defaults, business plan PDF for board vote, 2–3 builder quotes, financing options.
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**What NOT to build for this segment:** Operator dashboards, M&A tools, franchise features, AI advisor.
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### Side B — Suppliers / Builders (Lead Demand, Main Revenue)
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> Growing a construction/equipment business, wants qualified prospects not cold leads.
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**Job:** "Get a reliable stream of serious prospects so I can focus on closing, not chasing."
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**Struggling moments:**
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1. "We quote 20 projects but only close 3. Most leads aren't serious"
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2. "We have capacity for 5 more projects this quarter but pipeline is thin"
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3. "A new competitor opened and they're undercutting price"
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**Key insight:** Padelnomics leads come with full financial models attached — a builder can write a targeted proposal in 1 hour vs. 3 qualification calls.
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**Acquired via:** Manual outreach, founding member deals, word-of-mouth.
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**Revenue:** Directory subscriptions, lead credits, upsell stack.
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### Future Segments (Phase 3+)
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| Segment | Pain | Product | Price sensitivity |
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|---------|------|---------|-------------------|
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| Operating venue owner | "Am I performing well vs. market?" | Operational analytics (€49–99/mo) | Medium — easy ROI |
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| Padel franchise | "Where should we expand next?" | Enterprise intelligence + API | Very low |
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| Real estate developer | "Is padel viable for this space?" | Site selection reports (€499–999) | Very low |
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| Equipment supplier | "Who's about to build a hall?" | Lead gen / affiliate partnerships | Pay per lead |
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| Investor | "What does the padel market look like?" | Industry reports (€299–499) | Very low |
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---
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## Demand Phases (Aspiring Owner Buying Timeline)
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| Phase | Timeframe | State of Mind | What Padelnomics Needs |
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|-------|-----------|---------------|------------------------|
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| Passive | 3–12 mo | "Padel is booming, I wonder about investing" | Thought leadership, market reports, social content |
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| Active | 2–8 wk | "What does it cost? What's the ROI?" | Free calculator, SEO articles, city-specific pages |
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| Deciding | 1–4 wk | "I need a tool, a builder, and a bank" | Full planner, PDF export, builder quotes, financing |
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| Consuming | Ongoing | "Am I on track? Do I need to adjust?" | Benchmarks, competitive radar, performance tracking |
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> **Current gap:** Padelnomics only serves Active + Deciding. Passive phase = no presence yet.
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---
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## Product Vision & Funnel
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```
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FREE: Padel Court Planner (ROI Calculator)
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─ Distribution engine: SEO traffic, email capture, credibility
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─ Also generates leads for Side B
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↓
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PAID: Market Intelligence Dashboard (€79–149/mo)
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─ Core monetization from aspiring owners (Phase 2)
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─ Occupancy data, pricing, demand gaps, city analytics
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↓
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EXPANSION: Operational Analytics (€49–99/mo)
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─ Recurring revenue from operating venue owners (Phase 3)
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─ Benchmarking, optimization, competitor alerts
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↓
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HIGH-TICKET: Consulting + Reports (€499–999)
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─ Premium upsell: site selection reports, industry reports (Phase 4+)
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```
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### Phase 2 — Market Intelligence Dashboard (Month 1–3)
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**What we scrape from Playtomic:**
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- Booking slot availability → reverse-engineer occupancy rates per hall
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- Listed pricing → map pricing strategies (peak vs. off-peak)
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- New hall listings → track market expansion
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- Halls disappearing / low bookings → detect failure signals
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- Court counts per facility → supply density by area
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**Dashboard features:**
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| Feature | Value |
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|---------|-------|
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| Market Map | Interactive map of all halls with occupancy heat overlay |
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| City Analytics | Avg occupancy, pricing, court density, growth trends per city |
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| Site Selection Tool | "Enter a location → see demand, competition, revenue potential" |
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| Competitor Spy | Track any hall's occupancy and pricing over time |
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| Demand Gaps | Identify underserved areas (high population, low court density) |
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| Trend Reports | Which cities are growing fastest, weekly/monthly |
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**Tiers:** Explorer (€79/mo) · Pro (€149/mo) · Enterprise (custom, multi-country + API)
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**Killer pitch:** *"You're about to invest €200K. For €149/month, you'll know that the 4 halls near your target location run at 73% weekday occupancy and 94% weekends, charge €40/hour peak, and that there's an underserved suburb 15km north with zero courts and 200K residents."*
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### Phase 3 — Operational Analytics (Month 3–6)
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Every Phase 1 planner user who actually opens a hall becomes a Phase 3 customer. Built-in pipeline.
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- Benchmark your hall vs. market averages (occupancy, pricing, revenue/court)
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- Pricing optimization — see competitor pricing, get dynamic suggestions
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- Demand forecasting — historical patterns + weather + local events
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- Competitor alerts — new hall openings, pricing changes nearby
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- Utilization tracking — connect booking system or manual input
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---
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## Data Moat Strategy
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The moat compounds over time — this is critical to long-term defensibility.
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1. **Historical depth** — Every day of scraping = data competitors can't replicate. In 12 months we'll have a year of occupancy trends nobody else has.
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2. **Multi-source aggregation** — Start with Playtomic, add other booking platforms, Google Maps reviews, social signals, weather, demographics, real estate pricing.
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3. **Network effects** — As operating customers share their own data for benchmarking, the dataset grows. More data → better insights → more customers → more data.
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4. **Processing layer** — Raw bookings → occupancy models → demand forecasting → site selection algorithms. The ML/analytics layer is hard to replicate.
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**Scraping risk mitigation:** Scrape respectfully (1×/day), diversify data sources early, build toward voluntary data sharing from hall operators.
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---
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## Channel Strategy
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### Owned (build now)
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| Channel | Approach | State |
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|---------|----------|-------|
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| **Email list** | Gate planner results behind email; build from day 1 | [ ] Not live |
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| **SEO blog** | Programmatic city articles + editorial content | [~] In progress |
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| **Public free calculator** | No-signup, shareable URL; primary traffic driver | [ ] Not live |
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### Rented (primary B2B)
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| Channel | Approach | State |
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|---------|----------|-------|
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| **LinkedIn** | Founder posts, thought leadership, padel community | [ ] Not started |
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| **Reddit** | r/padel, r/entrepreneur — seeding calculator, articles | [ ] Not started |
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| **Facebook Groups** | Padel business groups, sports entrepreneur communities | [ ] Not started |
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### Borrowed (Month 2+)
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| Channel | Approach | State |
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|---------|----------|-------|
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| Padel podcasts | Guest appearances, case studies | [ ] Planned |
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| Sports business media | Press outreach ("padel boom + intelligence gap" angle) | [ ] Planned |
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| National padel associations | DTB, LTA, etc. — co-distribution potential | [ ] Planned |
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| Lenders as distribution | Banks recommend Padelnomics plans → massive trust signal | [ ] Future |
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### Skip (explicitly excluded at launch)
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- Product Hunt
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- Paid ads
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- Twitter/X
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- Webinars
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---
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## SEO & Content
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### Topic Cluster Structure
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```
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Hub: /padel-business/
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├── costs, market, location, business plan
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Hub: /rechner/ (or /calculator/)
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├── cost, ROI, financing calculators
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Hub: /markt/ (or /market/)
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├── /markt/berlin, /markt/muenchen, etc.
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```
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### Priority Articles (write in this order)
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| # | Title | Phase Served | State |
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|---|-------|--------------|-------|
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| 1 | "Is Padel Still a Good Investment in 2026? The Data Says..." | Passive | [ ] |
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| 2 | "How Much Does It Cost to Open a Padel Hall in Germany?" | Active | [ ] |
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| 3 | "What Banks Want to See in a Padel Business Plan" | Deciding | [ ] |
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| 4 | "State of Padel Q1 2026" (market report, email-gated) | Passive + PR | [ ] |
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| 5+ | Programmatic city pages (Berlin, Munich, Hamburg...) | Active | [ ] |
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### SEO Targets
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- "padel court business plan" / "padel halle business plan"
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- "padel hall ROI calculator" / "padel rechner"
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- "how to open padel hall" / "padel halle eröffnen"
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- "padel court cost Germany" / "padel halle kosten"
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- City variants: "padel [city]" patterns
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### Programmatic SEO
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City articles via CMS template engine (see `docs/CMS.md`). Template → CSV → generate → serve. `[scenario:slug:section]` markers embed planner output. Stagger via `articles_per_day`.
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---
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## Product-Led Growth
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### Free Tool Flywheel (Finanzfluss / Sportstättenrechner model)
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Proven by Sportstättenrechner: 18,400 unique users/month, 492 leads/month forwarded to paying suppliers, revenue ~€500K–750K/yr. We replicate padel-specific + add automated self-serve marketplace layer.
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**Free tools to build (traffic generators):**
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| Tool | URL | State |
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|------|-----|-------|
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| Padel ROI Calculator | /rechner or /calculator | [~] Exists, gated |
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| Padel Market Map | /map or /courts | [ ] Planned |
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| Location Scorer | /score | [ ] Future |
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| Market Report PDF | /reports/q1-2026 | [ ] Planned |
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| Unit Economics Benchmarks | /benchmarks | [ ] Future |
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**Critical first step:** Ungate the calculator — no signup required, shareable URL, email gate after results. #1 RICE item (score 1,350).
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### Email Capture Gate
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After calculator results: prompt for email to save/share scenario. Every planner user = email lead.
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---
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## Supplier Acquisition (Side B)
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### Founding Member Deals (launch goal)
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- Steep discount in exchange for testimonials / social proof
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- Target: 2–3 deals in first 30 days
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- Manual outreach, 30–50 contacts per market
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- Script: "Free leads for 3 months, just respond within 48hr. After month 1, would you pay €199/mo for continued access?" (Infiltrator pretotype)
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### Directory Tiers
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| Tier | Price | Includes | State |
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|------|-------|----------|-------|
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| Basic | Free | Listing, no leads | [ ] |
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| Growth | €199/mo (€1,799/yr) | Listing + 30 credits/mo + basic analytics | [ ] |
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| Pro | €499/mo (€4,499/yr) | Listing + 100 credits/mo + full analytics | [ ] |
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### Upsell Stack (RemoteOK playbook)
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Pre-select recommended bundle (logo + highlight + verified + lead feed = ~€316/mo). Suppliers actively uncheck what they don't want. When Pieter Levels added upsells on RemoteOK, avg price jumped from $310 → $484 overnight.
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| Upsell | Price | Claimed lift | State |
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|--------|-------|--------------|-------|
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| Company logo | €29/mo | +40% clicks | [ ] |
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| Highlight listing | €39/mo | +65% views | [ ] |
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| Verified badge | €49/mo | +55% inquiries | [ ] |
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| Custom brand color | €59/mo | +80% recognition | [ ] |
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| Lead feed access | €199/mo | Direct contact | [ ] |
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| Newsletter feature | €99/mo | +120 impressions/wk | [ ] |
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| Sticky top 1 week | €79 | 2× views | [ ] |
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| Sticky top 1 month | €199 | 6× views | [ ] |
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### Lead Marketplace (credit system)
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Inspired by Bark.com. Planner users' specs become anonymized briefs in a feed:
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> "Indoor padel center, 6 courts, Lower Saxony, €400K–600K budget, Q3 2026"
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Suppliers self-select which leads to unlock with credits. Lead cost scales by project value.
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**Heat scoring:**
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| Heat | Credits | Signals |
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|------|---------|---------|
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| Hot | 30–40 | Location secured + financing + <6mo timeline + solo decision |
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| Warm | 15–25 | Shortlisted + seeking financing + 6–12mo + partners |
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| Cool | 5–10 | Still searching + not started + 12+mo + committee |
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**Credit packs:**
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| Pack | Price | Per credit |
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|------|-------|-----------|
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| 25 credits | €99 | €3.96 |
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| 50 credits | €179 | €3.58 |
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| 100 credits | €329 | €3.29 |
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| 250 credits | €749 | €3.00 |
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---
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## Revenue Streams
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### Core (now)
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| Stream | Model | State |
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|--------|-------|-------|
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| Lead credits (Side B) | Suppliers buy credits to unlock leads | [ ] Not live |
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| Directory subscriptions (Side B) | Growth €149/mo, Pro €399/mo | [ ] Not live |
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| Directory upsells (Side B) | Logo, highlight, verified, sticky | [ ] Not live |
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| Business Plan PDF (Side A) | €149 one-time | [ ] CTA exists, no product |
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### Near-term (Phase 2–3)
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| Stream | Model | State |
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|--------|-------|-------|
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| Business Plan Pro (Side A) | €39/mo subscription | [ ] Planned |
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| Market Intelligence Explorer | €79/mo | [ ] Phase 2 |
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| Market Intelligence Pro | €149/mo | [ ] Phase 2 |
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| Operational Analytics | €49–99/mo (operating venues) | [ ] Phase 3 |
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### High-ticket (Phase 4+)
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| Stream | Model | State |
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|--------|-------|-------|
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| Site Selection Reports | €499–999 one-time | [ ] Future |
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| Padel Hall Accelerator | €999 (report + call + introductions) | [ ] Future |
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| Industry Reports | €299–499 quarterly | [ ] Future |
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| Enterprise / API | Custom pricing | [ ] Future |
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### Affiliate & Partnerships
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| Stream | Model | State |
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|--------|-------|-------|
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| Equipment supplier affiliates | €500–1,000/lead or 5% of sale | [ ] Future |
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| "Wirecutter for padel" | SEO affiliate site: racket reviews, gear guides, €1–3K/mo passive | [ ] Future |
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| Franchise partnerships | Market data or qualified leads for franchise brands | [ ] Future |
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| Newsletter sponsorships | "The Padel Business Report" — €200–1,000/wk at 5K+ subs | [ ] Future |
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| API / data licensing | Raw data feeds to hedge funds, analysts, franchise operators | [ ] Future |
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---
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## Email & Nurture
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| Step | Description | State |
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|------|-------------|-------|
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| Capture | Email gate on planner results | [ ] Not live |
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| Welcome sequence | Introduce platform, case studies, articles | [ ] Not started |
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| Lead nurture (Side A) | 5–7 email sequence for aspiring owners | [ ] Not started |
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| Supplier nurture (Side B) | Separate sequence for suppliers | [ ] Not started |
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---
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## PR & Partnerships
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| Opportunity | Approach | State |
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|-------------|----------|-------|
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| "State of Padel Q1 2026" report | Write with limited data, gate behind email, post LinkedIn, email 20 industry contacts. Target: 200+ downloads, 5+ shares, 1+ media citation | [ ] Planned |
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| Padel podcasts | Guest spots, position as data/planning expert | [ ] Month 2+ |
|
||
| National associations (DTB etc.) | Co-distribution, credibility | [ ] Month 2+ |
|
||
| Sports business press | Angle: "padel boom + nobody has the data" | [ ] Month 2+ |
|
||
| Lenders as distribution | Banks recommend Padelnomics plans → massive trust signal + built-in pipeline | [ ] Future |
|
||
|
||
---
|
||
|
||
## Pretotypes (validate before building)
|
||
|
||
| Idea | Test Method | Success Metric | State |
|
||
|------|------------|----------------|-------|
|
||
| Business Plan PDF export | Fake door: button → "launching soon + email capture" | 10%+ click rate, 30%+ leave email | [ ] |
|
||
| Location Scorer | Mechanical Turk: landing page → manual PDF delivery within 24hr | 20+ submissions/wk, 3+ ask "how much for more detail?" | [ ] |
|
||
| Operator Benchmarking | One-night stand: offer 5 venue owners free competitive analysis | 3/5 say yes AND ask for next update unprompted | [ ] Future |
|
||
| Builder Subscriptions | Infiltrator: free leads for 3mo → ask if they'd pay €199/mo | 3+ builders want to continue AND will pay | [~] Doing with founding members |
|
||
| Market Reports | Pinocchio: write Q1 2026 report with limited data, gate + share widely | 200+ downloads, 5+ shares, 1 media citation | [ ] |
|
||
|
||
---
|
||
|
||
## Geographic Expansion
|
||
|
||
**Current:** Germany + English (USA, UK).
|
||
|
||
**Whitespace (nobody has replicated Sportstättenrechner model in):**
|
||
France, Italy, Netherlands, Sweden, Belgium, Austria, Portugal, UAE/Middle East, Mexico/Latin America, UK (properly).
|
||
|
||
First-mover in each captures the entire search funnel for "how to open a padel hall in [country]."
|
||
|
||
**Roadmap:** DACH → Western Europe → Global. ~Month 12–24.
|
||
|
||
---
|
||
|
||
## Timelines
|
||
|
||
> Assumes ~half a day per feature, 20–30 hrs/week. Big chunks are already built: planner (HTMX-refactored), auth, CMS + 80 SEO articles, i18n (EN+DE), supplier directory scaffold, 9-step quote wizard, Playtomic extractor + DuckDB pipeline, market data endpoint, Paddle billing setup, Resend + waitlist mode. Timelines reflect remaining work only.
|
||
|
||
### What's already done (confirmed by code audit 2026-02-22)
|
||
|
||
Most "Week 1" items were already shipped. The actual state:
|
||
- ✅ Planner fully open — no login gate, never was one
|
||
- ✅ Supplier directory live — public, no waitlist gate
|
||
- ✅ Business Plan PDF — full WeasyPrint pipeline, not just a CTA
|
||
- ✅ Paddle billing — 18 products, webhooks, checkout, subscription lifecycle fully wired
|
||
- ✅ Lead admin view — full list/detail/status/manual-forward management
|
||
- ✅ Supplier dashboard — 4 tabs, credit-based unlock, listing editor, boosts
|
||
- ✅ Credit system — balance, ledger, atomic unlock, monthly refill
|
||
- ✅ Quote wizard — 9-step, heat scoring, email verification
|
||
|
||
### Go-Live (this week, config not code)
|
||
- [ ] Paddle: switch from sandbox to production (env vars + `setup_paddle`)
|
||
- [ ] Publish SEO articles on prod (`seed_content --generate` or admin panel)
|
||
- [ ] Wipe 5 test suppliers (`example.com` entries, not real data)
|
||
- [ ] Verify Resend production API key — test a real email
|
||
- [ ] Submit sitemap to Google Search Console
|
||
|
||
### Week 1–2 — First Revenue Signal
|
||
- [ ] Email nurture sequence (3-email drip for planner users — Resend infra exists, write content + schedule)
|
||
- [ ] 30–50 supplier outreach emails
|
||
- [ ] 2–3 founding member deals (free leads for 3 months)
|
||
- [ ] "State of Padel Q1 2026" report written + published
|
||
- [ ] First 3 priority SEO articles
|
||
- [ ] LinkedIn: first 5 posts
|
||
|
||
### Week 2–4 — Market Map
|
||
- [ ] Market map UI (geographic viz over DuckDB city data — only tech that doesn't exist yet)
|
||
- [ ] Follow up on founding member outreach
|
||
- [ ] More SEO articles
|
||
|
||
### Month 2 — Market Intelligence MVP
|
||
> Data pipeline already running (Playtomic + SQLMesh + DuckDB). Mostly a UI build.
|
||
- [ ] Market Intelligence Dashboard (city analytics, occupancy estimates, demand map)
|
||
- [ ] Explorer tier paywall (€79/mo)
|
||
- [ ] Target: €1,500–3,000/mo
|
||
|
||
### Month 3–6 — Pro Tier + Operational Analytics
|
||
- [ ] Market Intelligence Pro (€149/mo, hall-level data, competitor tracking)
|
||
- [ ] Operational analytics for running venues (€49–99/mo)
|
||
- [ ] Location Scorer MVP (mechanical turk initially)
|
||
- [ ] Target: €3,000–8,000/mo
|
||
|
||
### Month 6–12 — Scale
|
||
- [ ] Site Selection Reports (high-ticket)
|
||
- [ ] "State of Padel" quarterly reports (gated, press distribution)
|
||
- [ ] Enterprise tier + API
|
||
- [ ] Pan-European expansion (FR, IT, NL, SE — cities already seeded)
|
||
- [ ] Target: €8,000–20,000/mo
|
||
|
||
### Revenue milestones
|
||
|
||
| Milestone | Target MRR | Realistic timeline |
|
||
|-----------|-----------|-------------------|
|
||
| First paying customer | €99–499 | Week 1–2 (post go-live config) |
|
||
| €1K MRR | €1,000 | Month 1 |
|
||
| €3K MRR | €3,000 | Month 2 |
|
||
| €8K MRR | €8,000 | Month 4–6 |
|
||
| €20K MRR | €20,000 | Month 8–12 |
|
||
| €35K+ MRR | €35,000+ | Month 12–18 |
|
||
|
||
**Path to €3K MRR:**
|
||
- Builder lead credits: €150/lead avg × 10 leads/mo = €1,500/mo
|
||
- Builder subscriptions: €199/mo avg × 3 builders = €597/mo
|
||
- Business plan export: €49/mo avg × 15 subs = €735/mo
|
||
- Total: ~€2,832/mo
|
||
|
||
---
|
||
|
||
## Source Files
|
||
|
||
> See `PROJECT.md` at repo root for open tasks, in-progress work, and done items.
|
||
|
||
These are the raw strategy files this doc consolidates. Treat this doc as the source of truth going forward.
|
||
|
||
- `research/PLAN.md` — Phase-by-phase execution plan with product specs & pricing
|
||
- `research/padelnomics-master-strategy.md` — 22-section strategic reference
|
||
- `research/padelnomics-strategy-stack.md` — 7 frameworks (Lean Canvas, Blue Ocean, Wardley, etc.)
|
||
- `research/padelnomics-jtbd-analysis.md` — Customer segments and struggling moments
|
||
- `research/padelnomics_lead_platform_discussion_summary.md` — Lead platform design + Sportstättenrechner analysis
|
||
- `research/padel-daas-vision-plan.md` — DaaS thesis, "Bloomberg for padel" vision, data moat strategy, name candidates
|
||
- `memory/launch-strategy.md` — Pre-launch sequencing and 30-day milestones
|